‹ Strikeouts · Wednesday, May 20, 2026
SF @ AZ Strikeouts matchups · Wednesday, May 20, 2026
SF
San Francisco Giants
3–6
Final
AZ
Arizona Diamondbacks
◆ Chase FieldElevation 1,086 ftCenter Field 407 ft☀ 78°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None
Tyler Mahle · RHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate23.4% K/BF
vs LHB26.4%
vs RHB19.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.4%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.3 BF
Expected batters faced23.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection5.3 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+100-135
BOLBetOnline+109-141
BRBetRivers+110-148
BOVBovada+115-150
DKDraftKings+104-132
FANFanatics+115-150
FDFanDuel+116-152
We project 5.3 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
AZ lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Ketel Marte (L)16.6%3.0 PA
2Ildemaro Vargas (L)15.0%3.0 PA
3Geraldo Perdomo (L)16.5%3.0 PA
4Adrian Del Castillo (L)27.8%3.0 PA
5Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R)19.4%3.0 PA
6Jose Fernandez (R)24.9%2.3 PA
7Jorge Barrosa (L)27.6%2.0 PA
8Tim Tawa (R)22.2%2.0 PA
9Ryan Waldschmidt (R)25.7%2.0 PA
Merrill Kelly · RHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate18.2% K/BF
vs LHB17.3%
vs RHB21.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.3%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.2 BF
Expected batters faced24.2
From recent starts6
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection4.9 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-140
BOLBetOnline+113-147
BRBetRivers+108-143
BOVBovada+115-150
DKDraftKings+121-154
FDFanDuel+120-148
We project 4.9 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
SF lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jesus Rodriguez (R)22.0%3.0 PA
2Luis Arraez (L)8.3%3.0 PA
3Casey Schmitt (R)22.5%3.0 PA
4Rafael Devers (L)27.4%3.0 PA
5Willy Adames (R)24.4%3.0 PA
6Matt Chapman (R)25.0%3.0 PA
7Bryce Eldridge (L)25.1%2.2 PA
8Daniel Susac (R)21.8%2.0 PA
9Harrison Bader (R)24.6%2.0 PA