‹ Strikeouts · Thursday, May 21, 2026
PIT @ STL Strikeouts matchups · Thursday, May 21, 2026
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
6–2
Final
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
◆ Busch StadiumElevation 460 ftCenter Field 400 ft☀ 67°F Partly CloudyWind 8 mph, L To R
Braxton Ashcraft · RHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate23.5% K/BF
vs LHB24.5%
vs RHB22.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.2%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.6 BF
Expected batters faced23.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection5.3 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
FDFanDuel+116-154
BOLBetOnline+105-135
DKDraftKings+105-134
BRBetRivers+106-139
BOVBovada+115-150
We project 5.3 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
STL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1JJ Wetherholt (L)19.4%3.0 PA
2Iván Herrera (R)20.2%3.0 PA
3Alec Burleson (L)17.5%3.0 PA
4Jordan Walker (R)23.8%3.0 PA
5Nolan Gorman (L)27.0%3.0 PA
6Masyn Winn (R)22.1%2.6 PA
7José Fermín (R)20.1%2.0 PA
8Pedro Pagés (R)22.4%2.0 PA
9Yohel Pozo (R)21.0%2.0 PA
Dustin May · RHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate19.5% K/BF
vs LHB17.9%
vs RHB22.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.8%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.2 BF
Expected batters faced23.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection4.7 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
FDFanDuel-134+110
FANFanatics-145+110
BOLBetOnline-145+111
DKDraftKings-147+115
MGMBetMGM-160+120
BRBetRivers-152+114
BOVBovada-135+105
We project 4.7 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Oneil Cruz (L)26.9%3.0 PA
2Brandon Lowe (L)21.5%3.0 PA
3Bryan Reynolds (L)20.5%3.0 PA
4Spencer Horwitz (L)18.3%3.0 PA
5Konnor Griffin (R)23.7%3.0 PA
6Marcell Ozuna (R)25.1%2.2 PA
7Jake Mangum (L)21.9%2.0 PA
8Jared Triolo (R)22.0%2.0 PA
9Henry Davis (R)21.1%2.0 PA