‹ Strikeouts · Thursday, May 21, 2026
ATL @ MIA Strikeouts matchups · Thursday, May 21, 2026
ATL
Atlanta Braves
9–3
Final
MIA
Miami Marlins
◆ loanDepot parkElevation 10 ftCenter Field 407 ft☀ 72°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None
Spencer Strider · RHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate26.1% K/BF
vs LHB26.2%
vs RHB23.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.7%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.0 BF
Expected batters faced22.0
From recent starts3
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection4.7 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-155+115
BOLBetOnline-130+100
BRBetRivers-127-106
BOVBovada-135+105
DKDraftKings-138+108
FDFanDuel-136+102
We project 4.7 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
MIA lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Xavier Edwards (L)14.6%3.0 PA
2Liam Hicks (L)12.5%3.0 PA
3Otto Lopez (R)18.3%3.0 PA
4Kyle Stowers (L)24.3%3.0 PA
5Jakob Marsee (L)20.7%2.0 PA
6Christopher Morel (R)25.1%2.0 PA
7Heriberto Hernández (R)21.4%2.0 PA
8Pete Fairbanks (R)22.0%2.0 PA
9Javier Sanoja (R)16.2%2.0 PA
Sandy Alcantara · RHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate18.8% K/BF
vs LHB18.6%
vs RHB19.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.4%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.7 BF
Expected batters faced24.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection4.6 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-140+105
BOLBetOnline-130+100
BRBetRivers-124-108
BOVBovada-125-105
DKDraftKings-126-101
FANFanatics-125-105
FDFanDuel-122+100
We project 4.6 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
ATL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Eli White (R)21.2%3.0 PA
2Michael Harris II (L)20.9%3.0 PA
3Matt Olson (L)24.2%3.0 PA
4Ozzie Albies (L)18.8%3.0 PA
5Dominic Smith (L)19.1%3.0 PA
6Austin Riley (R)25.5%3.0 PA
7Mauricio Dubón (R)18.6%2.7 PA
8Ha-Seong Kim (R)20.2%2.0 PA
9Chadwick Tromp (R)22.2%2.0 PA