MatchWiz
Strikeouts · Thursday, May 21, 2026

COL @ AZ Strikeouts matchups · Thursday, May 21, 2026

COL
COL
Colorado Rockies
12
Final
AZ
Arizona Diamondbacks
AZ
Chase FieldElevation 1,086 ftCenter Field 407 ft 94°F ClearWind 3 mph, R To L

COL Zach Agnos · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate16.3% K/BF

vs LHB19.7%
vs RHB16.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)7.0%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload16.9 BF

Expected batters faced16.9
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection2.7 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
BOLBetOnline+139-182

We project 2.7 K vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

AZ lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Ketel Marte (L)16.6%2.0 PA
2Corbin Carroll (L)21.8%2.0 PA
3Geraldo Perdomo (L)16.8%2.0 PA
4Nolan Arenado (R)19.3%2.0 PA
5Ildemaro Vargas (L)15.0%2.0 PA
6Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R)20.7%2.0 PA
7Gabriel Moreno (R)20.8%2.0 PA
8Jose Fernandez (R)25.8%1.9 PA
9Ryan Waldschmidt (R)25.0%1.0 PA

AZ Eduardo Rodriguez · LHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate19.3% K/BF

vs LHB19.9%
vs RHB19.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.7%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.2 BF

Expected batters faced24.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.3 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
FDFanDuel+110-134
FANFanatics+105-140
BRBetRivers+102-137
DKDraftKings-106-120
MGMBetMGM+105-140
BOVBovada+105-135
BOLBetOnline+106-137

We project 5.3 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

COL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Willi Castro (R)24.7%3.0 PA
2Tyler Freeman (R)20.9%3.0 PA
3Hunter Goodman (R)30.6%3.0 PA
4Ezequiel Tovar (R)27.9%3.0 PA
5Kyle Karros (R)26.0%3.0 PA
6Jake McCarthy (L)20.5%3.0 PA
7Mickey Moniak (L)28.1%2.2 PA
8Troy Johnston (L)20.6%2.0 PA
9TJ Rumfield (L)17.8%2.0 PA