‹ Strikeouts · Friday, May 22, 2026
PIT @ TOR Strikeouts matchups · Friday, May 22, 2026
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
2–6
Final
TOR
Toronto Blue Jays
◆ Rogers CentreElevation 270 ftCenter Field 404 ft☀ 68°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None
Bubba Chandler · RHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate19.6% K/BF
vs LHB19.1%
vs RHB21.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.6%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.1 BF
Expected batters faced22.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection4.2 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOLBetOnline-149+115
BRBetRivers-162+120
BOVBovada-160+120
DKDraftKings-163+127
FANFanatics-160+120
FDFanDuel-154+116
We project 4.2 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
TOR lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1George Springer (R)20.3%3.0 PA
2Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)14.3%3.0 PA
3Daulton Varsho (L)23.1%3.0 PA
4Kazuma Okamoto (R)30.0%3.0 PA
5Yohendrick Piñango (L)22.0%2.1 PA
6Ernie Clement (R)13.9%2.0 PA
7Myles Straw (R)16.6%2.0 PA
8Brandon Valenzuela (L)21.4%2.0 PA
9Andrés Giménez (L)21.0%2.0 PA
Kevin Gausman · RHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate22.5% K/BF
vs LHB22.2%
vs RHB22.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.5%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.4 BF
Expected batters faced23.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection5.3 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-160+120
BOLBetOnline-156+121
BRBetRivers-165+123
BOVBovada-150+115
FDFanDuel-158+128
We project 5.3 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Oneil Cruz (L)28.2%3.0 PA
2Brandon Lowe (L)21.3%3.0 PA
3Nick Gonzales (R)16.2%3.0 PA
4Bryan Reynolds (L)21.9%3.0 PA
5Konnor Griffin (R)22.7%3.0 PA
6Jared Triolo (R)22.1%2.4 PA
7Endy Rodríguez (L)21.6%2.0 PA
8Esmerlyn Valdez (R)22.0%2.0 PA
9Jake Mangum (L)22.0%2.0 PA