‹ Strikeouts · Friday, May 22, 2026
HOU @ CHC Strikeouts matchups · Friday, May 22, 2026
HOU
Houston Astros
4–2
Final
CHC
Chicago Cubs
◆ Wrigley FieldElevation 595 ftCenter Field 400 ft☀ 60°F SunnyWind 12 mph, In From CF
Spencer Arrighetti · RHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate22.6% K/BF
vs LHB23.1%
vs RHB22.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.8%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.0 BF
Expected batters faced24.0
From recent starts6
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection5.3 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+120-160
BOLBetOnline+120-156
BRBetRivers+132-177
BOVBovada+120-160
DKDraftKings+115-147
FDFanDuel+122-162
We project 5.3 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
CHC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Nico Hoerner (R)11.1%3.0 PA
2Michael Busch (L)20.7%3.0 PA
3Alex Bregman (R)18.7%3.0 PA
4Ian Happ (L)29.9%3.0 PA
5Seiya Suzuki (R)27.4%3.0 PA
6Moisés Ballesteros (L)21.5%3.0 PA
7Carson Kelly (R)20.5%2.0 PA
8Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)23.8%2.0 PA
9Dansby Swanson (R)20.5%2.0 PA
Jameson Taillon · RHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate19.2% K/BF
vs LHB20.4%
vs RHB19.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.3%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.4 BF
Expected batters faced23.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection4.6 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-115-115
BOLBetOnline-109-119
BRBetRivers+102-136
BOVBovada-105-125
DKDraftKings-110-116
FANFanatics-110-120
FDFanDuel-102-120
We project 4.6 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
HOU lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jeremy Peña (R)20.8%3.0 PA
2Isaac Paredes (R)20.1%3.0 PA
3Yordan Alvarez (L)19.4%3.0 PA
4Christian Walker (R)22.4%3.0 PA
5Jake Meyers (R)22.8%3.0 PA
6Nick Allen (R)21.1%2.4 PA
7Cam Smith (R)26.9%2.0 PA
8Zach Cole (L)29.5%2.0 PA
9Christian Vázquez (R)17.8%2.0 PA