‹ Strikeouts · Friday, May 22, 2026
MIN @ BOS Strikeouts matchups · Friday, May 22, 2026
MIN
Minnesota Twins
8–6
Final
BOS
Boston Red Sox
◆ Fenway ParkElevation 21 ftCenter Field 420 ft☀ 64°F CloudyWind 3 mph, R To L
Connor Prielipp · LHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate26.2% K/BF
vs LHB21.8%
vs RHB26.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.0%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.0 BF
Expected batters faced22.0
From recent starts5
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection5.3 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-115-115
BOLBetOnline-103-125
BRBetRivers-105-129
BOVBovada-105-125
DKDraftKings-104-123
FDFanDuel-104-128
We project 5.3 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
BOS lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Jarren Duran (L)21.8%3.0 PA
2Ceddanne Rafaela (R)27.5%3.0 PA
3Wilyer Abreu (L)18.6%3.0 PA
4Willson Contreras (R)21.1%3.0 PA
5Masataka Yoshida (L)18.2%2.0 PA
6Nick Sogard (R)21.6%2.0 PA
7Marcelo Mayer (L)22.1%2.0 PA
8Carlos Narváez (R)21.0%2.0 PA
9Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)21.9%2.0 PA
Payton Tolle · LHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate22.6% K/BF
vs LHB19.2%
vs RHB24.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.7%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.0 BF
Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts5
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection5.3 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-115-115
BOLBetOnline-119-109
BRBetRivers-103-130
BOVBovada-130+100
DKDraftKings-131+103
FANFanatics-115-115
FDFanDuel-115-105
We project 5.3 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
MIN lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Byron Buxton (R)22.6%3.0 PA
2Brooks Lee (R)21.3%3.0 PA
3Austin Martin (R)16.4%3.0 PA
4James Outman (L)27.1%3.0 PA
5Trevor Larnach (L)24.1%3.0 PA
6Ryan Kreidler (R)19.9%2.0 PA
7Kody Clemens (L)20.1%2.0 PA
8Luke Keaschall (R)19.0%2.0 PA
9Alex Jackson (R)27.6%2.0 PA