MatchWiz
Strikeouts · Friday, May 22, 2026

COL @ AZ Strikeouts matchups · Friday, May 22, 2026

COL
COL
Colorado Rockies
32
Final
AZ
Arizona Diamondbacks
AZ
Chase FieldElevation 1,086 ftCenter Field 407 ft 95°F ClearWind 1 mph, Varies

COL Tomoyuki Sugano · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate14.9% K/BF

vs LHB15.9%
vs RHB16.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.3%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.6 BF

Expected batters faced22.6
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection3.4 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-110-120
BOLBetOnline-125-103
BRBetRivers-112-120
BOVBovada-135+105
DKDraftKings-118-108
FANFanatics-115-115
FDFanDuel-118-112

We project 3.4 K vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

AZ lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Ketel Marte (L)16.3%3.0 PA
2Corbin Carroll (L)22.6%3.0 PA
3Geraldo Perdomo (L)16.1%3.0 PA
4Nolan Arenado (R)18.6%3.0 PA
5Ildemaro Vargas (L)14.8%2.6 PA
6Jose Fernandez (R)25.6%2.0 PA
7Gabriel Moreno (R)20.3%2.0 PA
8Adrian Del Castillo (L)28.8%2.0 PA
9Ryan Waldschmidt (R)27.5%2.0 PA

AZ Michael Soroka · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate25.6% K/BF

vs LHB23.0%
vs RHB27.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.8%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.4 BF

Expected batters faced23.4
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection6.0 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
BOLBetOnline-154+118
BRBetRivers-157+118
BOVBovada-165+125
DKDraftKings-114-111
FDFanDuel-152+124

We project 6.0 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

COL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jake McCarthy (L)19.6%3.0 PA
2Hunter Goodman (R)26.1%3.0 PA
3Kyle Karros (R)21.7%3.0 PA
4Tyler Freeman (R)15.1%3.0 PA
5Troy Johnston (L)22.6%3.0 PA
6Willi Castro (L)26.3%2.4 PA
7Ezequiel Tovar (R)22.8%2.0 PA
8Sterlin Thompson (L)22.0%2.0 PA
9Chad Stevens (R)24.6%2.0 PA