‹ Strikeouts · Saturday, May 23, 2026
PIT @ TOR Strikeouts matchups · Saturday, May 23, 2026
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
2–5
Final
TOR
Toronto Blue Jays
◆ Rogers CentreElevation 270 ftCenter Field 404 ft☀ 68°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None
Paul Skenes · RHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate28.8% K/BF
vs LHB27.8%
vs RHB27.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)21.0%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.7 BF
Expected batters faced22.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection6.0 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-110-120
BRBetRivers-113-118
BOVBovada-110-120
DKDraftKings-108-118
FDFanDuel-112-118
We project 6.0 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
TOR lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1George Springer (R)21.0%3.0 PA
2Daulton Varsho (L)23.6%3.0 PA
3Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)13.8%3.0 PA
4Davis Schneider (R)26.5%3.0 PA
5Myles Straw (R)16.6%2.7 PA
6Ernie Clement (R)14.1%2.0 PA
7Andrés Giménez (L)22.4%2.0 PA
8Kazuma Okamoto (R)32.0%2.0 PA
9Tyler Heineman (L)20.3%2.0 PA
Patrick Corbin · LHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate17.0% K/BF
vs LHB22.6%
vs RHB16.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)6.7%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.9 BF
Expected batters faced21.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection4.3 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-140
BRBetRivers+112-150
BOVBovada+105-135
DKDraftKings+109-139
FANFanatics+115-150
FDFanDuel+106-130
We project 4.3 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
PIT lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Nick Gonzales (R)20.7%3.0 PA
2Konnor Griffin (R)26.4%3.0 PA
3Bryan Reynolds (R)21.0%3.0 PA
4Marcell Ozuna (R)25.9%2.9 PA
5Spencer Horwitz (L)19.7%2.0 PA
6Jhostynxon Garcia (R)23.4%2.0 PA
7Brandon Lowe (L)26.2%2.0 PA
8Oneil Cruz (L)32.2%2.0 PA
9Endy Rodríguez (R)22.0%2.0 PA