MatchWiz
Strikeouts Board · Archive

Best MLB strikeouts matchupsSaturday, May 23, 2026

Every starting pitcher on the Saturday, May 23, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by strikeout upside against today's lineup. Whiff rate, the bats he's facing, how deep he goes, and command. Higher means more K's. Results show how each start played out.

Plays of the Day PRO

Our highest-conviction strikeout calls — starts where our projection diverges 1.25+ K from the book's line, the segment where our backtested edge concentrates. Overs and Unders alike, ranked by the gap (Δ).

Δ2.5Bryan HudsonCWS vs SFwe project 3.0 K vs the 0.5 lineOver 0.5-145
Δ1.3Taj BradleyMIN vs BOSwe project 5.8 K vs the 4.5 lineOver 4.5+100
Δ1.3Zac GallenAZ vs COLwe project 4.2 K vs the 5.5 lineUnder 5.5-164
Δ1.3Stephen KolekKC vs SEAwe project 4.8 K vs the 3.5 lineOver 3.5-145

Research signal — in backtesting our edge concentrated in the largest of these gaps, not across every start. Display only, not betting advice.

#Pitcher · MatchupScore

Pitcher Strikeout Rate24.2% K/BF

vs LHB23.4%
vs RHB24.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.9%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.3 BF

Expected batters faced24.3
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection6.4 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness23.8% avg

BatterK rateExp PA
1. Zach Neto (R)28.2%3.0
2. Mike Trout (R)23.8%3.0
3. Vaughn Grissom (R)15.5%3.0
4. Jorge Soler (R)27.6%3.0
5. Jo Adell (R)24.1%3.0
6. Jose Siri (R)26.7%3.0
7. Oswald Peraza (R)22.8%2.3
8. Sebastián Rivero (R)24.2%2.0
9. Donovan Walton (L)20.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
FDFanDuel-108-122
DKDraftKings-124-103
FANFanatics-125-105
MGMBetMGM-135+100
BOVBovada-110-120
BRBetRivers-130-103

We project 6.4 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate28.8% K/BF

vs LHB27.8%
vs RHB27.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)21.0%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection6.0 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.1% avg

BatterK rateExp PA
1. George Springer (R)21.0%3.0
2. Daulton Varsho (L)23.6%3.0
3. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)13.8%3.0
4. Davis Schneider (R)26.5%3.0
5. Myles Straw (R)16.6%2.7
6. Ernie Clement (R)14.1%2.0
7. Andrés Giménez (L)22.4%2.0
8. Kazuma Okamoto (R)32.0%2.0
9. Tyler Heineman (L)20.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
FDFanDuel-112-118
MGMBetMGM-110-120
DKDraftKings-108-118
BOVBovada-110-120
BRBetRivers-113-118

We project 6.0 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate24.7% K/BF

vs LHB24.6%
vs RHB24.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.7%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.4 BF

Expected batters faced23.4
From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.4 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness20.7% avg

BatterK rateExp PA
1. Travis Bazzana (L)19.1%3.0
2. José Ramírez (L)18.1%3.0
3. Chase DeLauter (L)15.3%3.0
4. Kyle Manzardo (L)27.6%3.0
5. Rhys Hoskins (R)22.5%3.0
6. Daniel Schneemann (L)25.2%2.4
7. Angel Martínez (L)22.4%2.0
8. Steven Kwan (L)13.7%2.0
9. Patrick Bailey (L)22.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
FDFanDuel-140+114
DKDraftKings-149+117
MGMBetMGM-160+120
BOVBovada-145+110
BRBetRivers-165+123

We project 5.4 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate24.8% K/BF

vs LHB27.2%
vs RHB21.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.1%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.9 BF

Expected batters faced23.9
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.8 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.0% avg

BatterK rateExp PA
1. Jarren Duran (L)25.6%3.0
2. Mickey Gasper (L)20.3%3.0
3. Wilyer Abreu (L)22.5%3.0
4. Willson Contreras (R)24.8%3.0
5. Ceddanne Rafaela (R)19.7%3.0
6. Nick Sogard (L)23.1%2.9
7. Caleb Durbin (R)19.5%2.0
8. Connor Wong (R)23.7%2.0
9. Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)18.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
FDFanDuel-102-130
FANFanatics-110-120
MGMBetMGM-115-115
DKDraftKings-113-113
BOVBovada+100-130
BRBetRivers+100-134

We project 5.8 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate22.6% K/BF

vs LHB19.9%
vs RHB25.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.6%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.4 BF

Expected batters faced22.4
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.0 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.7% avg

BatterK rateExp PA
1. Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)20.5%3.0
2. Miguel Andujar (R)19.0%3.0
3. Gavin Sheets (L)21.1%3.0
4. Manny Machado (R)23.2%3.0
5. Bryce Johnson (L)24.2%2.4
6. Jackson Merrill (L)24.4%2.0
7. Ty France (R)18.6%2.0
8. Freddy Fermin (R)22.3%2.0
9. Sung-Mun Song (L)21.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
FDFanDuel-140+106
DKDraftKings-144+112
MGMBetMGM-130-105
BOVBovada-135+105
BRBetRivers-141+107

We project 5.0 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate22.8% K/BF

vs LHB21.0%
vs RHB24.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.9%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.3 BF

Expected batters faced24.3
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.2 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.4% avg

BatterK rateExp PA
1. Maikel Garcia (R)15.9%3.0
2. Bobby Witt Jr. (R)20.1%3.0
3. Vinnie Pasquantino (L)17.0%3.0
4. Salvador Perez (R)21.2%3.0
5. Carter Jensen (L)27.7%3.0
6. Jac Caglianone (L)24.4%3.0
7. Isaac Collins (L)25.3%2.3
8. Michael Massey (L)18.4%2.0
9. Kyle Isbel (L)22.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
FDFanDuel+126-168
DKDraftKings+127-163
BOVBovada+125-165
BRBetRivers+145-195

We project 5.2 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate25.4% K/BF

vs LHB25.8%
vs RHB23.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.1%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.3 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.3% avg

BatterK rateExp PA
1. Carson Benge (L)18.7%3.0
2. Bo Bichette (R)19.3%3.0
3. Juan Soto (L)18.7%3.0
4. Tyrone Taylor (R)19.4%3.0
5. Mark Vientos (R)23.1%2.8
6. A.J. Ewing (L)24.1%2.0
7. Marcus Semien (R)20.0%2.0
8. MJ Melendez (L)27.6%2.0
9. Luis Torrens (R)21.2%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
FDFanDuel-134+110
FANFanatics-140+105
DKDraftKings-136+106
MGMBetMGM-135+100
BOVBovada-135+105
BRBetRivers-127-105

We project 5.3 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate22.4% K/BF

vs LHB21.4%
vs RHB22.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.5%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.1 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.4% avg

BatterK rateExp PA
1. Jackson Chourio (R)23.6%3.0
2. Brice Turang (L)20.6%3.0
3. Andrew Vaughn (R)19.1%3.0
4. Christian Yelich (L)26.8%3.0
5. Gary Sánchez (R)22.1%2.8
6. Jake Bauers (L)24.3%2.0
7. Blake Perkins (L)24.6%2.0
8. Joey Ortiz (R)19.5%2.0
9. David Hamilton (L)20.5%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
FDFanDuel-172+126
DKDraftKings-164+128
MGMBetMGM-150+110
BOVBovada-170+130
BRBetRivers-167+125

We project 5.1 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate23.5% K/BF

vs LHB22.7%
vs RHB24.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.5%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.4 BF

Expected batters faced23.4
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.1 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.3% avg

BatterK rateExp PA
1. Xavier Edwards (L)15.4%3.0
2. Liam Hicks (L)12.8%3.0
3. Otto Lopez (R)19.1%3.0
4. Kyle Stowers (L)24.2%3.0
5. Jakob Marsee (L)21.4%3.0
6. Connor Norby (R)24.6%2.4
7. Owen Caissie (L)29.0%2.0
8. Graham Pauley (L)23.0%2.0
9. Joe Mack (L)22.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
FDFanDuel-125-106
DKDraftKings-125-102
MGMBetMGM-120-110
BOVBovada-130+100
BRBetRivers-118-113

We project 5.1 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.6% K/BF

vs LHB20.0%
vs RHB21.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.3%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.9 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.6% avg

BatterK rateExp PA
1. Trea Turner (R)22.8%3.0
2. Kyle Schwarber (L)31.8%3.0
3. Bryce Harper (L)20.2%3.0
4. Alec Bohm (R)17.1%3.0
5. Brandon Marsh (L)21.6%3.0
6. Bryson Stott (L)19.9%2.1
7. J.T. Realmuto (R)20.6%2.0
8. Adolis García (R)29.7%2.0
9. Justin Crawford (L)19.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
FDFanDuel+106-140
FANFanatics+115-150
DKDraftKings+113-144
MGMBetMGM+100-135
BOVBovada+105-135
BRBetRivers+102-134

We project 4.9 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.1% K/BF

vs LHB19.3%
vs RHB21.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.4%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.5 BF

Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.9 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.5% avg

BatterK rateExp PA
1. JJ Bleday (L)18.3%3.0
2. Elly De La Cruz (L)25.3%3.0
3. Sal Stewart (R)19.1%3.0
4. Nathaniel Lowe (L)24.7%3.0
5. Eugenio Suárez (R)25.8%3.0
6. Spencer Steer (R)20.8%2.5
7. Blake Dunn (R)19.5%2.0
8. Tyler Stephenson (R)25.8%2.0
9. TJ Friedl (L)23.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate23.0% K/BF

vs LHB24.2%
vs RHB20.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.0%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.1 BF

Expected batters faced22.1
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.8 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness20.9% avg

BatterK rateExp PA
1. Ronald Acuña Jr. (R)20.1%3.0
2. Michael Harris II (L)20.3%3.0
3. Matt Olson (L)23.7%3.0
4. Ozzie Albies (L)18.5%3.0
5. Dominic Smith (L)18.9%2.1
6. Austin Riley (R)25.3%2.0
7. Mauricio Dubón (R)18.6%2.0
8. Mike Yastrzemski (L)22.5%2.0
9. Chadwick Tromp (R)20.7%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
FDFanDuel+116-154
DKDraftKings+127-162
BOVBovada+115-150
BRBetRivers+128-175

We project 4.8 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate19.0% K/BF

vs LHB20.0%
vs RHB19.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.8%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.7 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness23.4% avg

BatterK rateExp PA
1. Jeremy Peña (R)20.7%3.0
2. Isaac Paredes (R)19.5%3.0
3. Zach Dezenzo (R)28.1%3.0
4. Christian Walker (R)23.5%3.0
5. Jake Meyers (R)22.9%2.8
6. Cam Smith (R)27.1%2.0
7. Nick Allen (R)21.1%2.0
8. Brice Matthews (R)27.9%2.0
9. César Salazar (L)19.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
FDFanDuel-102-120
DKDraftKings-111-115
MGMBetMGM-120-110
BRBetRivers+100-134
BOVBovada-105-125

We project 4.7 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate18.4% K/BF

vs LHB18.0%
vs RHB20.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.8%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.5 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.9% avg

BatterK rateExp PA
1. Blake Dunn (R)19.5%3.0
2. Elly De La Cruz (L)25.3%3.0
3. JJ Bleday (L)18.3%3.0
4. Sal Stewart (R)19.1%3.0
5. Eugenio Suárez (R)25.8%2.8
6. Matt McLain (R)23.1%2.0
7. Spencer Steer (R)20.8%2.0
8. P.J. Higgins (R)22.3%2.0
9. Dane Myers (R)23.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
FDFanDuel+102-136
FANFanatics+110-145
DKDraftKings+108-138
BRBetRivers+106-141
BOVBovada+105-135

We project 4.5 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate21.2% K/BF

vs LHB22.0%
vs RHB20.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.2%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.7 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness20.7% avg

BatterK rateExp PA
1. James Wood (L)26.0%3.0
2. Luis García Jr. (L)16.7%3.0
3. José Tena (L)26.8%3.0
4. CJ Abrams (L)20.3%3.0
5. Dylan Crews (R)21.2%2.7
6. Jacob Young (R)17.5%2.0
7. Nasim Nuñez (L)20.9%2.0
8. Jorbit Vivas (L)19.1%2.0
9. Keibert Ruiz (L)17.7%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
FDFanDuel-105-115
FANFanatics-110-120
DKDraftKings-123-104
MGMBetMGM-110-120
BOVBovada-110-120
BRBetRivers+100-132

We project 4.7 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.7% K/BF

vs LHB20.9%
vs RHB21.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.9%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload20.6 BF

Expected batters faced20.6
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.5 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.8% avg

BatterK rateExp PA
1. Danny Jansen (R)22.5%3.0
2. Brandon Nimmo (L)21.0%3.0
3. Michael Helman (R)20.7%2.6
4. Andrew McCutchen (R)24.9%2.0
5. Jake Burger (R)22.9%2.0
6. Evan Carter (L)21.3%2.0
7. Ezequiel Duran (R)23.4%2.0
8. Justin Foscue (R)24.7%2.0
9. Kyle Higashioka (R)24.2%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
FDFanDuel-122+100
DKDraftKings-136+106
MGMBetMGM-125-105
BOVBovada-125-105
BRBetRivers-124-108

We project 4.5 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate19.4% K/BF

vs LHB22.1%
vs RHB17.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.9%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.8 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.4% avg

BatterK rateExp PA
1. J.P. Crawford (L)20.6%3.0
2. Julio Rodríguez (R)22.5%3.0
3. Josh Naylor (L)16.1%3.0
4. Randy Arozarena (R)22.5%3.0
5. Luke Raley (L)29.1%3.0
6. Cole Young (L)20.4%2.0
7. Dominic Canzone (L)21.5%2.0
8. Jhonny Pereda (R)24.7%2.0
9. Colt Emerson (L)24.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
FDFanDuel-160+130
DKDraftKings-166+130
MGMBetMGM-145+105
BOVBovada-165+125
BRBetRivers-167+125

We project 4.8 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.0% K/BF

vs LHB19.6%
vs RHB21.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.4%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7
From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.4 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness20.6% avg

BatterK rateExp PA
1. Carlos Cortes (L)15.4%3.0
2. Nick Kurtz (L)23.8%3.0
3. Shea Langeliers (R)20.7%3.0
4. Brent Rooker (R)24.6%3.0
5. Tyler Soderstrom (L)19.4%2.7
6. Zack Gelof (R)23.6%2.0
7. Henry Bolte (R)20.5%2.0
8. Jeff McNeil (L)17.8%2.0
9. Darell Hernaiz (R)19.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
FDFanDuel+106-130
FANFanatics+105-140
DKDraftKings+103-132
MGMBetMGM+100-135
BOVBovada+105-135
BRBetRivers+114-152

We project 4.4 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate18.7% K/BF

vs LHB17.7%
vs RHB21.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.2%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.1 BF

Expected batters faced22.1
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.2 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.4% avg

BatterK rateExp PA
1. JJ Wetherholt (L)20.3%3.0
2. Iván Herrera (R)19.9%3.0
3. Alec Burleson (L)18.4%3.0
4. Jordan Walker (R)24.4%3.0
5. Nolan Gorman (L)27.3%2.1
6. Masyn Winn (R)22.5%2.0
7. Bryan Torres (L)22.0%2.0
8. César Prieto (L)21.3%2.0
9. Victor Scott II (L)25.2%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.1% K/BF

vs LHB21.8%
vs RHB20.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.8%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7
From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.3 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness20.2% avg

BatterK rateExp PA
1. Shohei Ohtani (L)21.9%3.0
2. Mookie Betts (R)16.8%3.0
3. Freddie Freeman (L)22.6%3.0
4. Andy Pages (R)22.5%3.0
5. Will Smith (R)22.9%2.7
6. Kyle Tucker (L)18.8%2.0
7. Teoscar Hernández (R)20.9%2.0
8. Miguel Rojas (R)17.3%2.0
9. Santiago Espinal (R)18.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
FDFanDuel-132+108
FANFanatics-130+100
DKDraftKings-127+100
MGMBetMGM-135+100
BOVBovada-135+105
BRBetRivers-143+108

We project 4.3 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate19.1% K/BF

vs LHB18.5%
vs RHB20.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.8%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.2 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.0% avg

BatterK rateExp PA
1. Jake McCarthy (L)18.4%3.0
2. Hunter Goodman (R)25.2%3.0
3. TJ Rumfield (L)18.3%3.0
4. Tyler Freeman (R)14.8%3.0
5. Troy Johnston (L)23.4%2.5
6. Ezequiel Tovar (R)22.2%2.0
7. Sterlin Thompson (L)22.0%2.0
8. Chad Stevens (R)22.7%2.0
9. Kyle Karros (R)21.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
FDFanDuel+134-164
BOVBovada+130-170
BRBetRivers+148-200

We project 4.2 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate16.1% K/BF

vs LHB17.3%
vs RHB17.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.7%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.3 BF

Expected batters faced23.3
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.1 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.4% avg

BatterK rateExp PA
1. Sam Antonacci (L)15.4%3.0
2. Munetaka Murakami (L)26.1%3.0
3. Miguel Vargas (R)19.0%3.0
4. Colson Montgomery (L)27.1%3.0
5. Chase Meidroth (R)22.1%3.0
6. Andrew Benintendi (L)22.8%2.3
7. Randal Grichuk (R)20.9%2.0
8. Derek Hill (R)25.8%2.0
9. Drew Romo (L)22.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
FDFanDuel-140+114
DKDraftKings-137+108
MGMBetMGM-155+115
BOVBovada-145+110
BRBetRivers-148+110

We project 4.1 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate17.0% K/BF

vs LHB22.6%
vs RHB16.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)6.7%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.9 BF

Expected batters faced21.9
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.3 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness24.2% avg

BatterK rateExp PA
1. Nick Gonzales (R)20.7%3.0
2. Konnor Griffin (R)26.4%3.0
3. Bryan Reynolds (R)21.0%3.0
4. Marcell Ozuna (R)25.9%2.9
5. Spencer Horwitz (L)19.7%2.0
6. Jhostynxon Garcia (R)23.4%2.0
7. Brandon Lowe (L)26.2%2.0
8. Oneil Cruz (L)32.2%2.0
9. Endy Rodríguez (R)22.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
FDFanDuel+106-130
FANFanatics+115-150
MGMBetMGM+105-140
DKDraftKings+109-139
BOVBovada+105-135
BRBetRivers+112-150

We project 4.3 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate16.6% K/BF

vs LHB20.6%
vs RHB16.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)6.9%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.3 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.1% avg

BatterK rateExp PA
1. JJ Wetherholt (L)20.3%3.0
2. Iván Herrera (R)19.9%3.0
3. Alec Burleson (L)18.4%3.0
4. Jordan Walker (R)24.4%3.0
5. Thomas Saggese (R)25.4%3.0
6. Masyn Winn (R)22.5%2.0
7. Bryan Torres (L)22.0%2.0
8. Yohel Pozo (R)21.0%2.0
9. Victor Scott II (L)25.2%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
FDFanDuel-114-106
DKDraftKings-115-111
BRBetRivers-106-125
BOVBovada-120-110

We project 4.3 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate23.4% K/BF

vs LHB23.0%
vs RHB23.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.9%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload16.5 BF

Expected batters faced16.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection3.6 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness20.8% avg

BatterK rateExp PA
1. Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)23.7%2.0
2. Alex Bregman (R)18.6%2.0
3. Michael Busch (L)20.5%2.0
4. Nico Hoerner (R)11.6%2.0
5. Kevin Alcántara (R)22.6%2.0
6. Seiya Suzuki (R)26.7%2.0
7. Moisés Ballesteros (L)22.0%2.0
8. Carson Kelly (R)20.8%1.5
9. Dansby Swanson (R)21.1%1.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate18.7% K/BF

vs LHB20.7%
vs RHB17.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.5%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.9 BF

Expected batters faced21.9
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection3.8 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness20.4% avg

BatterK rateExp PA
1. Ketel Marte (L)15.7%3.0
2. Corbin Carroll (L)23.0%3.0
3. Geraldo Perdomo (L)16.0%3.0
4. Nolan Arenado (R)17.7%2.9
5. Ildemaro Vargas (L)14.2%2.0
6. Gabriel Moreno (R)19.8%2.0
7. Jose Fernandez (R)25.3%2.0
8. Tim Tawa (R)23.8%2.0
9. Ryan Waldschmidt (R)27.7%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
FDFanDuel+100-132
FANFanatics+100-130
DKDraftKings+103-132
MGMBetMGM+105-145
BOVBovada+100-130
BRBetRivers-108-122

We project 3.8 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate27.1% K/BF

vs LHB28.7%
vs RHB22.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.2%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload14.0 BF

Expected batters faced14.0
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection3.4 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.1% avg

BatterK rateExp PA
1. Byron Buxton (R)24.0%2.0
2. James Outman (L)26.7%2.0
3. Austin Martin (R)15.8%2.0
4. Josh Bell (R)22.9%2.0
5. Kody Clemens (L)19.4%2.0
6. Victor Caratini (R)23.5%1.0
7. Orlando Arcia (R)23.1%1.0
8. Brooks Lee (R)23.1%1.0
9. Ryan Kreidler (R)20.4%1.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate21.3% K/BF

vs LHB21.2%
vs RHB22.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.8%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload13.7 BF

Expected batters faced13.7
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection3.0 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.2% avg

BatterK rateExp PA
1. Willy Adames (R)24.4%2.0
2. Luis Arraez (L)13.7%2.0
3. Casey Schmitt (R)20.8%2.0
4. Rafael Devers (L)24.5%2.0
5. Matt Chapman (R)23.0%1.7
6. Daniel Susac (R)20.3%1.0
7. Bryce Eldridge (L)25.2%1.0
8. Harrison Bader (R)22.8%1.0
9. Drew Gilbert (L)25.0%1.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 0.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
FANFanatics-145+110

We project 3.0 K vs the 0.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.