MatchWiz
Strikeouts · Saturday, May 23, 2026

ATH @ SD Strikeouts matchups · Saturday, May 23, 2026

ATH
ATH
Athletics
02
Final
SD
San Diego Padres
SD
Petco ParkElevation 23 ftCenter Field 396 ft 66°F Partly CloudyWind 8 mph, L To R

ATH J.T. Ginn · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate22.6% K/BF

vs LHB19.9%
vs RHB25.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.6%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.4 BF

Expected batters faced22.4
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.0 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-130-105
BRBetRivers-141+107
BOVBovada-135+105
DKDraftKings-144+112
FDFanDuel-140+106

We project 5.0 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

SD lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)20.5%3.0 PA
2Miguel Andujar (R)19.0%3.0 PA
3Gavin Sheets (L)21.1%3.0 PA
4Manny Machado (R)23.2%3.0 PA
5Bryce Johnson (L)24.2%2.4 PA
6Jackson Merrill (L)24.4%2.0 PA
7Ty France (R)18.6%2.0 PA
8Freddy Fermin (R)22.3%2.0 PA
9Sung-Mun Song (L)21.9%2.0 PA

SD Lucas Giolito · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.0% K/BF

vs LHB19.6%
vs RHB21.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.4%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7
From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.4 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+100-135
BRBetRivers+114-152
BOVBovada+105-135
DKDraftKings+103-132
FANFanatics+105-140
FDFanDuel+106-130

We project 4.4 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

ATH lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Carlos Cortes (L)15.4%3.0 PA
2Nick Kurtz (L)23.8%3.0 PA
3Shea Langeliers (R)20.7%3.0 PA
4Brent Rooker (R)24.6%3.0 PA
5Tyler Soderstrom (L)19.4%2.7 PA
6Zack Gelof (R)23.6%2.0 PA
7Henry Bolte (R)20.5%2.0 PA
8Jeff McNeil (L)17.8%2.0 PA
9Darell Hernaiz (R)19.6%2.0 PA