HOU @ CHC Strikeouts matchups · Saturday, May 23, 2026

HOU

Houston Astros

3–0

Final

CHC

Chicago Cubs

◆ Wrigley FieldElevation 595 ftCenter Field 400 ft☀ 60°F Partly CloudyWind 7 mph, In From CF

Kai-Wei Teng · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate23.4% K/BF

vs LHB23.0%

vs RHB23.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.9%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload16.5 BF

Expected batters faced16.5

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection3.6 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

CHC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)23.7%2.0 PA

2Alex Bregman (R)18.6%2.0 PA

3Michael Busch (L)20.5%2.0 PA

4Nico Hoerner (R)11.6%2.0 PA

5Kevin Alcántara (R)22.6%2.0 PA

6Seiya Suzuki (R)26.7%2.0 PA

7Moisés Ballesteros (L)22.0%2.0 PA

8Carson Kelly (R)20.8%1.5 PA

9Dansby Swanson (R)21.1%1.0 PA

Colin Rea · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate19.0% K/BF

vs LHB20.0%

vs RHB19.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.8%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.7 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-120-110

BRBetRivers+100-134

BOVBovada-105-125

DKDraftKings-111-115

FDFanDuel-102-120

We project 4.7 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

HOU lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Jeremy Peña (R)20.7%3.0 PA

2Isaac Paredes (R)19.5%3.0 PA

3Zach Dezenzo (R)28.1%3.0 PA

4Christian Walker (R)23.5%3.0 PA

5Jake Meyers (R)22.9%2.8 PA

6Cam Smith (R)27.1%2.0 PA

7Nick Allen (R)21.1%2.0 PA

8Brice Matthews (R)27.9%2.0 PA

9César Salazar (L)19.8%2.0 PA