‹ Strikeouts · Saturday, May 23, 2026
COL @ AZ Strikeouts matchups · Saturday, May 23, 2026
COL
Colorado Rockies
4–5
Final
AZ
Arizona Diamondbacks
◆ Chase FieldElevation 1,086 ftCenter Field 407 ft☀ 94°F ClearWind 1 mph, Varies
Michael Lorenzen · RHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate18.7% K/BF
vs LHB20.7%
vs RHB17.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.5%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.9 BF
Expected batters faced21.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection3.8 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-145
BRBetRivers-108-122
BOVBovada+100-130
DKDraftKings+103-132
FANFanatics+100-130
FDFanDuel+100-132
We project 3.8 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
AZ lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Ketel Marte (L)15.7%3.0 PA
2Corbin Carroll (L)23.0%3.0 PA
3Geraldo Perdomo (L)16.0%3.0 PA
4Nolan Arenado (R)17.7%2.9 PA
5Ildemaro Vargas (L)14.2%2.0 PA
6Gabriel Moreno (R)19.8%2.0 PA
7Jose Fernandez (R)25.3%2.0 PA
8Tim Tawa (R)23.8%2.0 PA
9Ryan Waldschmidt (R)27.7%2.0 PA
Zac Gallen · RHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate19.1% K/BF
vs LHB18.5%
vs RHB20.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.8%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.5 BF
Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection4.2 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BRBetRivers+148-200
BOVBovada+130-170
FDFanDuel+134-164
We project 4.2 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
COL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jake McCarthy (L)18.4%3.0 PA
2Hunter Goodman (R)25.2%3.0 PA
3TJ Rumfield (L)18.3%3.0 PA
4Tyler Freeman (R)14.8%3.0 PA
5Troy Johnston (L)23.4%2.5 PA
6Ezequiel Tovar (R)22.2%2.0 PA
7Sterlin Thompson (L)22.0%2.0 PA
8Chad Stevens (R)22.7%2.0 PA
9Kyle Karros (R)21.8%2.0 PA