‹ Strikeouts · Monday, May 25, 2026
AZ @ SF Strikeouts matchups · Monday, May 25, 2026
AZ
Arizona Diamondbacks
6–2
Final
SF
San Francisco Giants
◆ Oracle ParkElevation 0 ftCenter Field 391 ft☀ 60°F Partly CloudyWind 12 mph, Out To LF
Merrill Kelly · RHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate17.4% K/BF
vs LHB15.6%
vs RHB22.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.9%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.3 BF
Expected batters faced24.3
From recent starts7
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection4.8 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
FDFanDuel-106-122
FANFanatics+100-130
DKDraftKings+104-133
MGMBetMGM-110-120
BRBetRivers-118-113
BOVBovada+105-135
We project 4.8 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
SF lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Willy Adames (R)25.7%3.0 PA
2Luis Arraez (L)8.4%3.0 PA
3Casey Schmitt (R)21.5%3.0 PA
4Rafael Devers (L)27.2%3.0 PA
5Matt Chapman (R)23.9%3.0 PA
6Daniel Susac (R)25.5%3.0 PA
7Bryce Eldridge (L)23.4%2.3 PA
8Harrison Bader (R)25.8%2.0 PA
9Drew Gilbert (L)18.7%2.0 PA
Landen Roupp · RHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate24.0% K/BF
vs LHB23.6%
vs RHB23.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.6%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.8 BF
Expected batters faced22.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection4.9 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
FDFanDuel+130-160
DKDraftKings+116-148
MGMBetMGM+125-165
BRBetRivers+114-152
BOVBovada+125-165
We project 4.9 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
AZ lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Ketel Marte (L)15.9%3.0 PA
2Corbin Carroll (L)23.7%3.0 PA
3Geraldo Perdomo (L)15.1%3.0 PA
4Nolan Arenado (R)17.8%3.0 PA
5Ildemaro Vargas (L)14.0%2.8 PA
6Ryan Waldschmidt (R)28.3%2.0 PA
7Gabriel Moreno (R)20.0%2.0 PA
8Jose Fernandez (R)22.8%2.0 PA
9Jorge Barrosa (L)28.6%2.0 PA