‹ Strikeouts · Monday, May 25, 2026
CHC @ PIT Strikeouts matchups · Monday, May 25, 2026
CHC
Chicago Cubs
1–2
Final
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
◆ PNC ParkElevation 780 ftCenter Field 399 ft☀ 73°F CloudyWind 5 mph, Out To CF
Ben Brown · RHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate25.8% K/BF
vs LHB27.4%
vs RHB22.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.4%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload16.9 BF
Expected batters faced16.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection4.3 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-125
BRBetRivers+105-139
BOVBovada+100-130
DKDraftKings-105-121
FANFanatics+100-130
FDFanDuel+106-140
We project 4.3 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Spencer Horwitz (L)18.0%2.0 PA
2Brandon Lowe (L)23.0%2.0 PA
3Bryan Reynolds (L)21.9%2.0 PA
4Nick Gonzales (R)17.5%2.0 PA
5Oneil Cruz (L)29.8%2.0 PA
6Marcell Ozuna (R)24.1%2.0 PA
7Konnor Griffin (R)23.4%2.0 PA
8Jhostynxon Garcia (R)22.8%1.9 PA
9Henry Davis (R)21.1%1.0 PA
Carmen Mlodzinski · RHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate19.1% K/BF
vs LHB18.6%
vs RHB21.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.8%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.4 BF
Expected batters faced22.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection4.5 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BRBetRivers+125-167
BOVBovada+120-160
FDFanDuel+124-152
We project 4.5 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
CHC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)23.3%3.0 PA
2Ian Happ (L)30.5%3.0 PA
3Michael Busch (L)21.4%3.0 PA
4Alex Bregman (R)17.0%3.0 PA
5Michael Conforto (L)25.7%2.4 PA
6Nico Hoerner (R)11.1%2.0 PA
7Seiya Suzuki (R)27.3%2.0 PA
8Carson Kelly (R)21.0%2.0 PA
9Dansby Swanson (R)20.9%2.0 PA