MatchWiz
Strikeouts · Wednesday, May 27, 2026

MIA @ TOR Strikeouts matchups · Wednesday, May 27, 2026

MIA
MIA
Miami Marlins
12
Final
TOR
Toronto Blue Jays
TOR
Rogers CentreElevation 270 ftCenter Field 404 ft 60°F SunnyWind 8 mph, Out To RF

MIA Eury Pérez · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate24.9% K/BF

vs LHB25.2%
vs RHB23.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.3%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.0 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+120-160
BRBetRivers+128-175
BOVBovada+120-160
DKDraftKings+122-156
FANFanatics+120-160
FDFanDuel+118-158

We project 5.0 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

TOR lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Nathan Lukes (L)17.3%3.0 PA
2Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)13.6%3.0 PA
3Daulton Varsho (L)22.4%3.0 PA
4George Springer (R)19.6%3.0 PA
5Kazuma Okamoto (R)32.6%2.7 PA
6Myles Straw (R)16.6%2.0 PA
7Ernie Clement (R)13.5%2.0 PA
8Andrés Giménez (L)21.5%2.0 PA
9Tyler Heineman (L)21.2%2.0 PA

TOR Kevin Gausman · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate23.5% K/BF

vs LHB21.9%
vs RHB24.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.2%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.6 BF

Expected batters faced23.6
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.8 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
BRBetRivers-152+114
BOVBovada-160+120
DKDraftKings-171+133
FDFanDuel-154+126

We project 4.8 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

MIA lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Xavier Edwards (L)14.9%3.0 PA
2Liam Hicks (L)11.8%3.0 PA
3Otto Lopez (R)17.6%3.0 PA
4Kyle Stowers (L)26.3%3.0 PA
5Jakob Marsee (L)19.8%3.0 PA
6Connor Norby (R)25.5%2.6 PA
7Javier Sanoja (R)15.4%2.0 PA
8Esteury Ruiz (R)22.4%2.0 PA
9Graham Pauley (L)23.3%2.0 PA