Which pitcher has the best strikeout matchup today (Wednesday, May 27, 2026)?

Cristopher Sánchez (PHI) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 6.5 K against SD. A 27% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 22% of the time.

What are the best pitcher strikeout props today?

The top projected-K starts on Wednesday, May 27, 2026: Cristopher Sánchez (~6.5 K), Gavin Williams (~6.6 K), Shohei Ohtani (~6.0 K), Michael Soroka (~5.8 K), José Soriano (~5.8 K). The full board ranks every starter.

How is the strikeout matchup score calculated?

It pairs each starter's strikeout rate (K/BF) with the strikeout rate of every hitter he faces, hand by hand, the log5 way — then scales by his expected batters faced (how deep he goes) and his command (K-BB%). Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected strikeout count alongside.

Is the strikeout board about pitchers or hitters?

Pitchers. Every card is a starting pitcher, ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his stuff against the lineup he's facing. So a higher score is good for the pitcher (and his K prop), not the hitters.

What's the projected strikeout number?

A rough expected K total for the start, from how similar matchups have gone. It's a reference for comparing starters against each other, not a promise he throws exactly that many.

Strikeouts per batter faced — the share of hitters a pitcher strikes out. Around 22% is league average. Swing-and-miss starters run 30%+. We split it by batter handedness, which is what a daily matchup is asking.

What is K-BB%, and why does it matter?

Strikeout rate minus walk rate — a command-adjusted read on swing-and-miss skill, and one of the most stable, predictive pitcher numbers there is. A high-K-BB% arm misses bats without handing out free passes, which keeps the strikeout upside real.

Why does the opposing lineup matter so much?

A strikeout takes two. An elite arm gets fewer against a contact lineup, and a mid-rotation guy can pile them up against a whiff-prone one. The model reads each hitter's K rate vs the pitcher's hand, so the same starter grades very differently depending on who he draws.

What's the confidence meter?

How much data backs the read — sample size on the pitcher and the hitters he faces, plus whether the lineup's official. It's a measure of how solid the projection is, not a probability.

Can I use these for strikeout props or DFS?

Yes — that's the point. The board surfaces which starters have the best strikeout conditions and projects a count. Where there's a line, we show the over/under and which side our number leans. We don't post picks — we show the data and grade it. (Best-price odds and the Plays of the Day are a Pro feature.)

Are these confirmed or projected lineups?

Strikeout projections ride on the opposing lineup, so before a team posts officially (~2 hours before first pitch) we project it from their last game, then update once it's set. A pitcher facing a still-projected lineup is flagged so you know the number can still move.

Yes — the full board, every game page, and the daily archive, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

Strikeouts Board · Archive

Best MLB strikeouts matchups — Wednesday, May 27, 2026

Every starting pitcher on the Wednesday, May 27, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by strikeout upside against today's lineup. Whiff rate, the bats he's facing, how deep he goes, and command. Higher means more K's. Results show how each start played out.

★ Plays of the Day PRO

Our highest-conviction strikeout calls — starts where our projection diverges 1.25+ K from the book's line, the segment where our backtested edge concentrates. Overs and Unders alike, ranked by the gap (Δ).

Δ1.9David SandlinCWS vs MINwe project 5.4 K vs the 3.5 lineOver 3.5-132

Δ1.5Shohei OhtaniLAD vs COLwe project 6.0 K vs the 7.5 lineUnder 7.5-110

Δ1.4Logan GilbertSEA vs ATHwe project 5.1 K vs the 6.5 lineUnder 6.5-178

Δ1.3Michael SorokaAZ vs SFwe project 5.8 K vs the 4.5 lineOver 4.5-158

Research signal — in backtesting our edge concentrated in the largest of these gaps, not across every start. Display only, not betting advice.

Final · 1–2

MIAaway

TORhomeTop matchup64 Final · 2–3

WSHaway

CLEhomeTop matchup98 Final · 1–2

STLaway

MILhomeTop matchup54 Final · 9–1

SEAaway

ATHhomeTop matchup69 Final · 3–2

AZaway

SFhomeTop matchup85 Final · 3–0

PHIaway

SDhomeTop matchup100 Final · 2–11

TBaway

BALhomeTop matchup53 Final · 0–4

LAAaway

DEThomeTop matchup83 Final · 10–4

CHCaway

PIThomeTop matchup78 Final · 0–8

ATLaway

BOShomeTop matchup61 Final · 2–4

CINaway

NYMhomeTop matchup30 Final · 2–15

MINaway

CWShomeTop matchup66 Final · 7–0

NYYaway

KChomeTop matchup60 Final · 4–3

HOUaway

TEXhomeTop matchup83 Final · 1–4

COLaway

LADhomeTop matchup87

#Pitcher · MatchupScore

Pitcher Strikeout Rate27.1% K/BF

vs LHB29.0%

vs RHB24.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.0%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload25.7 BF

Expected batters faced25.7

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection6.5 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.7% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)24.1%3.0

2. Miguel Andujar (R)18.1%3.0

3. Gavin Sheets (L)20.1%3.0

4. Manny Machado (R)21.9%3.0

5. Xander Bogaerts (R)16.1%3.0

6. Ramón Laureano (R)24.1%3.0

7. Jackson Merrill (L)24.3%3.0

8. Nick Castellanos (R)24.4%2.7

9. Rodolfo Durán (R)22.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-130-105

BRBetRivers-136+102

BOVBovada-150+115

DKDraftKings-143+112

FANFanatics-145+110

FDFanDuel-152+114

We project 6.5 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate28.1% K/BF

vs LHB28.5%

vs RHB25.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.4%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.6 BF

Expected batters faced24.6

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection6.6 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.2% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. James Wood (L)26.2%3.0

2. Andrés Chaparro (R)22.7%3.0

3. Curtis Mead (R)18.4%3.0

4. CJ Abrams (L)19.8%3.0

5. Daylen Lile (L)19.5%3.0

6. José Tena (L)28.6%3.0

7. Jorbit Vivas (L)19.0%2.6

8. Drew Millas (L)19.4%2.0

9. Jacob Young (R)17.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-115-115

BRBetRivers-132+100

BOVBovada-115-115

DKDraftKings-118-108

FANFanatics-115-115

FDFanDuel-106-114

We project 6.6 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate26.6% K/BF

vs LHB25.5%

vs RHB26.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.4%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.4 BF

Expected batters faced23.4

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection6.0 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.8% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Chad Stevens (R)24.9%3.0

2. Tyler Freeman (R)14.1%3.0

3. TJ Rumfield (L)17.4%3.0

4. Hunter Goodman (R)27.4%3.0

5. Troy Johnston (L)21.7%3.0

6. Willi Castro (L)25.0%2.4

7. Ezequiel Tovar (R)21.4%2.0

8. Sterlin Thompson (L)22.0%2.0

9. Kyle Karros (R)22.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 7.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-120-110

BRBetRivers-109-122

BOVBovada-105-125

DKDraftKings-112-114

FDFanDuel+102-124

We project 6.0 K vs the 7.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate23.7% K/BF

vs LHB22.3%

vs RHB25.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.0%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.4 BF

Expected batters faced23.4

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.8 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.8% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Willy Adames (R)25.7%3.0

2. Luis Arraez (L)8.4%3.0

3. Casey Schmitt (R)22.5%3.0

4. Rafael Devers (L)27.4%3.0

5. Matt Chapman (R)23.2%3.0

6. Bryce Eldridge (L)23.2%2.4

7. Daniel Susac (R)25.8%2.0

8. Harrison Bader (R)26.6%2.0

9. Victor Bericoto (R)22.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

BRBetRivers-162+120

BOVBovada-165+125

DKDraftKings-158+123

FDFanDuel-166+124

We project 5.8 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate24.9% K/BF

vs LHB22.8%

vs RHB26.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.0%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.6 BF

Expected batters faced23.6

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.8 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.3% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Matt Vierling (R)21.2%3.0

2. Kevin McGonigle (L)14.8%3.0

3. Dillon Dingler (R)22.3%3.0

4. Riley Greene (L)25.0%3.0

5. Zach McKinstry (L)17.9%3.0

6. Spencer Torkelson (R)29.6%2.6

7. Wenceel Pérez (L)19.9%2.0

8. Jahmai Jones (R)26.4%2.0

9. Hao-Yu Lee (R)23.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.