MatchWiz
Strikeouts · Wednesday, May 27, 2026

CHC @ PIT Strikeouts matchups · Wednesday, May 27, 2026

CHC
CHC
Chicago Cubs
104
Final
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
PIT
PNC ParkElevation 780 ftCenter Field 399 ft 77°F Partly CloudyWind 6 mph, Out To CF

CHC Jameson Taillon · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate19.6% K/BF

vs LHB20.6%
vs RHB19.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.2%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.2 BF

Expected batters faced23.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.8 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-115-115
BRBetRivers-107-124
BOVBovada-105-125
DKDraftKings-106-120
FDFanDuel-104-128

We project 4.8 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Spencer Horwitz (L)17.4%3.0 PA
2Brandon Lowe (L)22.3%3.0 PA
3Bryan Reynolds (L)22.1%3.0 PA
4Nick Gonzales (R)18.1%3.0 PA
5Oneil Cruz (L)29.2%3.0 PA
6Konnor Griffin (R)23.3%2.3 PA
7Marcell Ozuna (R)25.6%2.0 PA
8Endy Rodríguez (L)22.9%2.0 PA
9Esmerlyn Valdez (R)22.0%2.0 PA

PIT Braxton Ashcraft · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate24.0% K/BF

vs LHB25.6%
vs RHB21.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.4%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.6 BF

Expected batters faced24.6
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.8 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

CHC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)22.3%3.0 PA
2Nico Hoerner (R)11.5%3.0 PA
3Michael Busch (L)21.4%3.0 PA
4Alex Bregman (R)17.3%3.0 PA
5Ian Happ (L)29.3%3.0 PA
6Seiya Suzuki (R)26.2%3.0 PA
7Michael Conforto (L)25.7%2.6 PA
8Carson Kelly (R)20.1%2.0 PA
9Dansby Swanson (R)22.1%2.0 PA