‹ Strikeouts · Wednesday, May 27, 2026
ATL @ BOS Strikeouts matchups · Wednesday, May 27, 2026
ATL
Atlanta Braves
0–8
Final
BOS
Boston Red Sox
◆ Fenway ParkElevation 21 ftCenter Field 420 ft☀ 87°F ClearWind 8 mph, L To R
Bryce Elder · RHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate19.9% K/BF
vs LHB19.8%
vs RHB21.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.1%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.3 BF
Expected batters faced24.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection4.8 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+120-160
BRBetRivers+133-180
BOVBovada+120-160
DKDraftKings+114-146
FDFanDuel+120-160
We project 4.8 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
BOS lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jarren Duran (L)27.4%3.0 PA
2Ceddanne Rafaela (R)18.8%3.0 PA
3Wilyer Abreu (L)23.6%3.0 PA
4Willson Contreras (R)23.9%3.0 PA
5Masataka Yoshida (L)13.8%3.0 PA
6Mickey Gasper (L)22.3%3.0 PA
7Nick Sogard (L)21.9%2.3 PA
8Marcelo Mayer (L)21.1%2.0 PA
9Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)17.2%2.0 PA
Connelly Early · LHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate22.8% K/BF
vs LHB24.5%
vs RHB21.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.5%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.1 BF
Expected batters faced23.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection5.1 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+120-160
BRBetRivers+140-190
BOVBovada+130-170
DKDraftKings+127-163
FDFanDuel+134-164
We project 5.1 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
ATL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Ronald Acuña Jr. (R)23.9%3.0 PA
2Mauricio Dubón (R)17.1%3.0 PA
3Matt Olson (L)22.1%3.0 PA
4Ozzie Albies (R)12.3%3.0 PA
5Austin Riley (R)27.3%3.0 PA
6Michael Harris II (L)21.5%2.1 PA
7Jorge Mateo (R)27.4%2.0 PA
8Ha-Seong Kim (R)22.6%2.0 PA
9Chadwick Tromp (R)24.6%2.0 PA