‹ Strikeouts · Wednesday, May 27, 2026
TB @ BAL Strikeouts matchups · Wednesday, May 27, 2026
TB
Tampa Bay Rays
2–11
Final
BAL
Baltimore Orioles
◆ Oriole Park at Camden YardsElevation 33 ftCenter Field 410 ft☀ 80°F Partly CloudyWind 2 mph, Out To RF
Steven Matz · LHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate21.6% K/BF
vs LHB21.4%
vs RHB21.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.6%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.9 BF
Expected batters faced21.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection4.9 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+115-155
BRBetRivers+114-152
BOVBovada+105-135
DKDraftKings+115-147
FANFanatics+110-145
FDFanDuel+104-138
We project 4.9 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
BAL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Jackson Holliday (L)24.8%3.0 PA
2Weston Wilson (R)24.3%3.0 PA
3Adley Rutschman (R)18.4%3.0 PA
4Pete Alonso (R)22.7%2.9 PA
5Coby Mayo (R)22.7%2.0 PA
6Leody Taveras (R)23.0%2.0 PA
7Colton Cowser (L)26.0%2.0 PA
8Blaze Alexander (R)23.0%2.0 PA
9Jeremiah Jackson (R)24.3%2.0 PA
Trey Gibson · RHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate22.0% K/BF
vs LHB22.0%
vs RHB22.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.5 BF
Expected batters faced21.5
From recent starts2
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection4.6 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+100-135
BRBetRivers-121-110
BOVBovada-105-125
DKDraftKings-105-121
FDFanDuel+100-122
We project 4.6 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
TB lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Chandler Simpson (L)14.9%3.0 PA
2Oliver Dunn (L)23.9%3.0 PA
3Victor Mesa Jr. (L)21.6%3.0 PA
4Nick Fortes (R)19.6%2.5 PA
5Richie Palacios (L)22.0%2.0 PA
6Ryan Vilade (R)20.0%2.0 PA
7Cedric Mullins (L)21.1%2.0 PA
8Carson Williams (R)27.0%2.0 PA
9Hunter Feduccia (L)26.3%2.0 PA