MatchWiz
Strikeouts · Thursday, May 28, 2026

HOU @ TEX Strikeouts matchups · Thursday, May 28, 2026

HOU
HOU
Houston Astros
51
Final
TEX
Texas Rangers
TEX
Globe Life FieldElevation 545 ftCenter Field 407 ft 74°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None

HOU Spencer Arrighetti · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate22.6% K/BF

vs LHB23.8%
vs RHB21.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.7%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.9 BF

Expected batters faced23.9
From recent starts7

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.4 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+115-155
BOVBovada+130-170
DKDraftKings+112-143
FANFanatics+115-150
FDFanDuel+116-154

We project 5.4 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

TEX lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Justin Foscue (R)24.7%3.0 PA
2Sam Haggerty (L)22.4%3.0 PA
3Brandon Nimmo (L)20.7%3.0 PA
4Josh Jung (R)19.1%3.0 PA
5Evan Carter (L)21.3%3.0 PA
6Jake Burger (R)25.2%2.9 PA
7Ezequiel Duran (R)23.1%2.0 PA
8Kyle Higashioka (R)24.0%2.0 PA
9Nicky Lopez (L)20.2%2.0 PA

TEX Nathan Eovaldi · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate23.7% K/BF

vs LHB23.9%
vs RHB23.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.5%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.7 BF

Expected batters faced24.7
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.5 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+110-150
BRBetRivers+117-157
BOVBovada+105-135
DKDraftKings+115-147
FDFanDuel+108-132

We project 5.5 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

HOU lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jeremy Peña (R)18.4%3.0 PA
2Yordan Alvarez (L)18.6%3.0 PA
3Isaac Paredes (R)17.9%3.0 PA
4Jake Meyers (R)22.5%3.0 PA
5Cam Smith (R)26.0%3.0 PA
6Braden Shewmake (L)18.7%3.0 PA
7Nick Allen (R)22.3%2.7 PA
8Brice Matthews (R)24.9%2.0 PA
9Christian Vázquez (R)18.4%2.0 PA