Which pitcher has the best strikeout matchup today (Thursday, May 28, 2026)?

Chris Sale (ATL) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 6.3 K against BOS. A 29% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 21% of the time.

What are the best pitcher strikeout props today?

The top projected-K starts on Thursday, May 28, 2026: Chris Sale (~6.3 K), Jack Flaherty (~6.3 K), Payton Tolle (~5.6 K), Davis Martin (~5.8 K), Paul Skenes (~5.5 K). The full board ranks every starter.

How is the strikeout matchup score calculated?

It pairs each starter's strikeout rate (K/BF) with the strikeout rate of every hitter he faces, hand by hand, the log5 way — then scales by his expected batters faced (how deep he goes) and his command (K-BB%). Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected strikeout count alongside.

Is the strikeout board about pitchers or hitters?

Pitchers. Every card is a starting pitcher, ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his stuff against the lineup he's facing. So a higher score is good for the pitcher (and his K prop), not the hitters.

What's the projected strikeout number?

A rough expected K total for the start, from how similar matchups have gone. It's a reference for comparing starters against each other, not a promise he throws exactly that many.

Strikeouts per batter faced — the share of hitters a pitcher strikes out. Around 22% is league average. Swing-and-miss starters run 30%+. We split it by batter handedness, which is what a daily matchup is asking.

What is K-BB%, and why does it matter?

Strikeout rate minus walk rate — a command-adjusted read on swing-and-miss skill, and one of the most stable, predictive pitcher numbers there is. A high-K-BB% arm misses bats without handing out free passes, which keeps the strikeout upside real.

Why does the opposing lineup matter so much?

A strikeout takes two. An elite arm gets fewer against a contact lineup, and a mid-rotation guy can pile them up against a whiff-prone one. The model reads each hitter's K rate vs the pitcher's hand, so the same starter grades very differently depending on who he draws.

What's the confidence meter?

How much data backs the read — sample size on the pitcher and the hitters he faces, plus whether the lineup's official. It's a measure of how solid the projection is, not a probability.

Can I use these for strikeout props or DFS?

Yes — that's the point. The board surfaces which starters have the best strikeout conditions and projects a count. Where there's a line, we show the over/under and which side our number leans. We don't post picks — we show the data and grade it. (Best-price odds and the Plays of the Day are a Pro feature.)

Are these confirmed or projected lineups?

Strikeout projections ride on the opposing lineup, so before a team posts officially (~2 hours before first pitch) we project it from their last game, then update once it's set. A pitcher facing a still-projected lineup is flagged so you know the number can still move.

Yes — the full board, every game page, and the daily archive, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

Strikeouts Board · Archive

Best MLB strikeouts matchups — Thursday, May 28, 2026

Every starting pitcher on the Thursday, May 28, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by strikeout upside against today's lineup. Whiff rate, the bats he's facing, how deep he goes, and command. Higher means more K's. Results show how each start played out.

Final · 7–1

LAAaway

DEThomeTop matchup98 Final · 2–6

MINaway

CWShomeTop matchup76 Final · 10–2

ATLaway

BOShomeTop matchup100 Final · 2–1

TORaway

BALhomeTop matchup32 Final · 7–2

CHCaway

PIThomeTop matchup74 Final · 5–1

HOUaway

TEXhomeTop matchup63

#Pitcher · MatchupScore

Pitcher Strikeout Rate28.6% K/BF

vs LHB28.0%

vs RHB27.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.2%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.9 BF

Expected batters faced23.9

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection6.3 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.0% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Jarren Duran (L)22.1%3.0

2. Ceddanne Rafaela (R)26.5%3.0

3. Wilyer Abreu (L)17.7%3.0

4. Willson Contreras (R)20.4%3.0

5. Andruw Monasterio (R)20.6%3.0

6. Marcelo Mayer (L)23.0%2.9

7. Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)21.4%2.0

8. Carlos Narváez (R)19.9%2.0

9. Caleb Durbin (R)17.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 7.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

FDFanDuel+100-132

FANFanatics+105-140

DKDraftKings+107-136

BOVBovada+105-135

BRBetRivers-105-127

MGMBetMGM-105-125

We project 6.3 K vs the 7.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate24.5% K/BF

vs LHB20.8%

vs RHB27.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.0%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.4 BF

Expected batters faced21.4

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection6.3 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness24.3% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Zach Neto (R)27.0%3.0

2. Mike Trout (R)22.8%3.0

3. Vaughn Grissom (R)16.2%3.0

4. Jorge Soler (R)28.1%2.4

5. Jose Siri (R)26.9%2.0

6. Jo Adell (R)25.6%2.0

7. Oswald Peraza (R)23.9%2.0

8. Sebastián Rivero (R)24.1%2.0

9. Donovan Walton (L)23.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

FDFanDuel+118-144

FANFanatics+105-140

DKDraftKings+101-128

MGMBetMGM+110-150

BOVBovada+115-150

BRBetRivers+117-157

We project 6.3 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate24.9% K/BF

vs LHB19.0%

vs RHB27.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.5%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1

From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.6 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.9% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Ronald Acuña Jr. (R)24.0%3.0

2. Mauricio Dubón (R)16.7%3.0

3. Matt Olson (L)21.8%3.0

4. Ozzie Albies (R)11.9%3.0

5. Austin Riley (R)27.9%3.0

6. Michael Harris II (L)22.3%2.1

7. Jorge Mateo (R)26.4%2.0

8. Dominic Smith (L)21.3%2.0

9. Chadwick Tromp (R)25.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

FDFanDuel+102-124

DKDraftKings-106-120

BOVBovada+100-130

BRBetRivers-110-121

MGMBetMGM+110-150

We project 5.6 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate24.9% K/BF

vs LHB24.9%

vs RHB23.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.8%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.8 BF

Expected batters faced23.8

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.8 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.2% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Byron Buxton (R)23.9%3.0

2. Brooks Lee (L)17.8%3.0

3. Trevor Larnach (L)20.6%3.0

4. Kody Clemens (L)22.2%3.0

5. Josh Bell (L)22.1%3.0

6. Orlando Arcia (R)19.0%2.8

7. Victor Caratini (L)18.5%2.0

8. Tristan Gray (L)26.2%2.0

9. Ryan Kreidler (R)29.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

FDFanDuel-112-108

FANFanatics-125-105

DKDraftKings-133+104

BOVBovada-120-110

BRBetRivers-117-114

We project 5.8 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate25.4% K/BF

vs LHB25.4%

vs RHB24.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.9%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.5 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.7% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)22.3%3.0

2. Nico Hoerner (R)11.8%3.0

3. Michael Busch (L)21.5%3.0

4. Alex Bregman (R)17.5%3.0

5. Ian Happ (L)27.9%2.8

6. Seiya Suzuki (R)26.7%2.0

7. Michael Conforto (L)24.7%2.0

8. Miguel Amaya (R)21.7%2.0

9. Dansby Swanson (R)21.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

FDFanDuel+100-122

DKDraftKings-105-121

MGMBetMGM-105-125

BOVBovada-110-120

BRBetRivers+102-137

We project 5.5 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate23.7% K/BF

vs LHB23.9%

vs RHB23.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.5%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.7 BF

Expected batters faced24.7

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.5 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness20.8% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Jeremy Peña (R)18.4%3.0

2. Yordan Alvarez (L)18.6%3.0

3. Isaac Paredes (R)17.9%3.0

4. Jake Meyers (R)22.5%3.0

5. Cam Smith (R)26.0%3.0

6. Braden Shewmake (L)18.7%3.0

7. Nick Allen (R)22.3%2.7

8. Brice Matthews (R)24.9%2.0

9. Christian Vázquez (R)18.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

FDFanDuel+108-132

DKDraftKings+115-147

MGMBetMGM+110-150

BOVBovada+105-135

BRBetRivers+117-157

We project 5.5 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate22.6% K/BF

vs LHB23.8%

vs RHB21.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.7%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.9 BF

Expected batters faced23.9

From recent starts7

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.4 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.3% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Justin Foscue (R)24.7%3.0

2. Sam Haggerty (L)22.4%3.0

3. Brandon Nimmo (L)20.7%3.0

4. Josh Jung (R)19.1%3.0

5. Evan Carter (L)21.3%3.0

6. Jake Burger (R)25.2%2.9

7. Ezequiel Duran (R)23.1%2.0

8. Kyle Higashioka (R)24.0%2.0

9. Nicky Lopez (L)20.2%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

FDFanDuel+116-154

FANFanatics+115-150

DKDraftKings+112-143

MGMBetMGM+115-155

BOVBovada+130-170

We project 5.4 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate21.7% K/BF

vs LHB21.5%

vs RHB22.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.9%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.1 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.0% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Colt Keith (L)22.4%3.0

2. Kevin McGonigle (L)14.3%3.0

3. Dillon Dingler (R)21.5%3.0

4. Riley Greene (L)25.2%3.0

5. Spencer Torkelson (R)30.0%3.0

6. Zach McKinstry (L)18.3%2.0

7. Matt Vierling (R)21.2%2.0

8. Wenceel Pérez (L)19.6%2.0

9. Jahmai Jones (R)25.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

FDFanDuel+130-174

DKDraftKings+123-157

MGMBetMGM+120-160

BOVBovada+130-170

We project 5.1 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate19.4% K/BF

vs LHB20.7%

vs RHB19.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.4%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.2 BF

Expected batters faced23.2

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.8 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.4% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Spencer Horwitz (L)17.2%3.0

2. Brandon Lowe (L)22.5%3.0

3. Bryan Reynolds (L)22.1%3.0

4. Oneil Cruz (L)29.9%3.0

5. Jhostynxon Garcia (R)23.2%3.0

6. Jake Mangum (L)20.3%2.2

7. Tyler Callihan (L)21.4%2.0

8. Jared Triolo (R)23.3%2.0

9. Henry Davis (R)21.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

FDFanDuel+114-148

FANFanatics+115-150

DKDraftKings+114-145

MGMBetMGM+125-165

BOVBovada+115-150

BRBetRivers+115-152

We project 4.8 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate19.9% K/BF

vs LHB22.4%

vs RHB19.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.1%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.1 BF

Expected batters faced22.1

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.6 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.7% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Taylor Ward (R)19.4%3.0

2. Gunnar Henderson (L)24.1%3.0

3. Adley Rutschman (R)18.1%3.0

4. Pete Alonso (R)22.3%3.0

5. Weston Wilson (R)24.3%2.1

6. Leody Taveras (R)22.5%2.0

7. Colton Cowser (L)25.9%2.0

8. Jackson Holliday (L)24.8%2.0

9. Blaze Alexander (R)22.5%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

FDFanDuel-174+130

DKDraftKings-166+130

BOVBovada-170+130

BRBetRivers-159+120

MGMBetMGM-165+125

We project 4.6 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate18.9% K/BF

vs LHB18.5%

vs RHB20.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.2%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.2 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness20.6% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. George Springer (R)19.6%3.0

2. Nathan Lukes (L)18.8%3.0

3. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)14.0%3.0

4. Daulton Varsho (L)22.3%3.0

5. Kazuma Okamoto (R)32.7%2.9

6. Yohendrick Piñango (L)22.0%2.0

7. Ernie Clement (R)13.4%2.0

8. Andrés Giménez (L)21.4%2.0

9. Brandon Valenzuela (L)21.2%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

FDFanDuel-170+138

DKDraftKings-154+121

BOVBovada-180+135

BRBetRivers-175+128

MGMBetMGM-160+120

We project 4.2 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate15.7% K/BF

vs LHB18.1%

vs RHB15.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)7.1%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload20.6 BF

Expected batters faced20.6

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection3.5 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.9% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Sam Antonacci (L)15.9%3.0

2. Munetaka Murakami (L)25.4%3.0

3. Miguel Vargas (R)19.6%2.6

4. Colson Montgomery (L)27.6%2.0

5. Chase Meidroth (R)20.2%2.0

6. Tristan Peters (L)20.6%2.0

7. Randal Grichuk (R)19.4%2.0

8. Derek Hill (R)25.1%2.0

9. Edgar Quero (L)23.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-110-120

We project 3.5 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Best MLB Strikeout Pitcher Matchups — Thursday, May 28, 2026

Chris Sale (ATL) is the top strikeout start on the Thursday, May 28, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 6.3 K, with Jack Flaherty (DET) right behind. Every starter on the slate is ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his whiff rate, the lineup he's facing, how deep he goes, and his command. It's the same read DFS and strikeout-prop players make before lock.

Top strikeout spot: Chris Sale

Chris Sale (ATL) is the best strikeout matchup on the board at 100, projected for about 6.3 K against BOS. He's missing bats at a 29% clip — strikeouts per batter faced — and BOS has been around league average, going down 21% of the time. He's lined up for about 24 batters, so the volume's there for a big number.

The rest of the top of the board

Jack Flaherty (DET) (98) — about 6.3 K vs LAA: a 24% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 24% of the time.
Payton Tolle (BOS) (78) — about 5.6 K vs ATL: a 25% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 22% of the time.
Davis Martin (CWS) (76) — about 5.8 K vs MIN: a 25% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 22% of the time.
Paul Skenes (PIT) (74) — about 5.5 K vs CHC: a 25% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 22% of the time.
Nathan Eovaldi (TEX) (63) — about 5.5 K vs HOU: a 24% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 21% of the time.

Whiffiest lineups to attack today

LAA is striking out 24% of the time in this spot — Jack Flaherty is the arm to exploit it (98).
BAL is striking out 23% of the time in this spot — Patrick Corbin is the arm to exploit it (32).
PIT is striking out 22% of the time in this spot — Colin Rea is the arm to exploit it (40).
TEX is striking out 22% of the time in this spot — Spencer Arrighetti is the arm to exploit it (56).

How it played out

The top 10 starts averaged 6.2 strikeouts. Top play Chris Sale punched out 8. We grade every projection against the box score so you can see how the board held up.

How to read these strikeout matchups

Each starter's score (0–100) blends his strikeout rate against every hitter in the lineup — hand by hand, combined the log5 way — then scales by how deep he's been going (expected batters faced) and his command (K-BB%). Higher means more whiffs point his way. We project a strikeout count and grade every start against what actually happened.

Keep reading

Frequently asked questions

Which pitcher has the best strikeout matchup today (Thursday, May 28, 2026)?: Chris Sale (ATL) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 6.3 K against BOS. A 29% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 21% of the time.
What are the best pitcher strikeout props today?: The top projected-K starts on Thursday, May 28, 2026: Chris Sale (~6.3 K), Jack Flaherty (~6.3 K), Payton Tolle (~5.6 K), Davis Martin (~5.8 K), Paul Skenes (~5.5 K). The full board ranks every starter.
How many strikeouts did the top matchup get on Thursday, May 28, 2026?: Chris Sale punched out 8.
How is the strikeout matchup score calculated?: It pairs each starter's strikeout rate (K/BF) with the strikeout rate of every hitter he faces, hand by hand, the log5 way — then scales by his expected batters faced (how deep he goes) and his command (K-BB%). Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected strikeout count alongside.
Is the strikeout board about pitchers or hitters?: Pitchers. Every card is a starting pitcher, ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his stuff against the lineup he's facing. So a higher score is good for the pitcher (and his K prop), not the hitters.
What's the projected strikeout number?: A rough expected K total for the start, from how similar matchups have gone. It's a reference for comparing starters against each other, not a promise he throws exactly that many.
What does K/BF mean?: Strikeouts per batter faced — the share of hitters a pitcher strikes out. Around 22% is league average. Swing-and-miss starters run 30%+. We split it by batter handedness, which is what a daily matchup is asking.
What is K-BB%, and why does it matter?: Strikeout rate minus walk rate — a command-adjusted read on swing-and-miss skill, and one of the most stable, predictive pitcher numbers there is. A high-K-BB% arm misses bats without handing out free passes, which keeps the strikeout upside real.
Why does the opposing lineup matter so much?: A strikeout takes two. An elite arm gets fewer against a contact lineup, and a mid-rotation guy can pile them up against a whiff-prone one. The model reads each hitter's K rate vs the pitcher's hand, so the same starter grades very differently depending on who he draws.
What's the confidence meter?: How much data backs the read — sample size on the pitcher and the hitters he faces, plus whether the lineup's official. It's a measure of how solid the projection is, not a probability.
Can I use these for strikeout props or DFS?: Yes — that's the point. The board surfaces which starters have the best strikeout conditions and projects a count. Where there's a line, we show the over/under and which side our number leans. We don't post picks — we show the data and grade it. (Best-price odds and the Plays of the Day are a Pro feature.)
Are these confirmed or projected lineups?: Strikeout projections ride on the opposing lineup, so before a team posts officially (~2 hours before first pitch) we project it from their last game, then update once it's set. A pitcher facing a still-projected lineup is flagged so you know the number can still move.
Is MatchWiz free?: Yes — the full board, every game page, and the daily archive, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.