‹ Strikeouts · Thursday, May 28, 2026
CHC @ PIT Strikeouts matchups · Thursday, May 28, 2026
CHC
Chicago Cubs
7–2
Final
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
◆ PNC ParkElevation 780 ftCenter Field 399 ft☀ 73°F ClearWind 10 mph, L To R
Colin Rea · RHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate19.4% K/BF
vs LHB20.7%
vs RHB19.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.4%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.2 BF
Expected batters faced23.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection4.8 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+125-165
BRBetRivers+115-152
BOVBovada+115-150
DKDraftKings+114-145
FANFanatics+115-150
FDFanDuel+114-148
We project 4.8 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Spencer Horwitz (L)17.2%3.0 PA
2Brandon Lowe (L)22.5%3.0 PA
3Bryan Reynolds (L)22.1%3.0 PA
4Oneil Cruz (L)29.9%3.0 PA
5Jhostynxon Garcia (R)23.2%3.0 PA
6Jake Mangum (L)20.3%2.2 PA
7Tyler Callihan (L)21.4%2.0 PA
8Jared Triolo (R)23.3%2.0 PA
9Henry Davis (R)21.8%2.0 PA
Paul Skenes · RHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate25.4% K/BF
vs LHB25.4%
vs RHB24.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.9%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.8 BF
Expected batters faced22.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection5.5 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-125
BRBetRivers+102-137
BOVBovada-110-120
DKDraftKings-105-121
FDFanDuel+100-122
We project 5.5 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
CHC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)22.3%3.0 PA
2Nico Hoerner (R)11.8%3.0 PA
3Michael Busch (L)21.5%3.0 PA
4Alex Bregman (R)17.5%3.0 PA
5Ian Happ (L)27.9%2.8 PA
6Seiya Suzuki (R)26.7%2.0 PA
7Michael Conforto (L)24.7%2.0 PA
8Miguel Amaya (R)21.7%2.0 PA
9Dansby Swanson (R)21.4%2.0 PA