‹ Strikeouts · Sunday, May 31, 2026
AZ @ SEA Strikeouts matchups · Sunday, May 31, 2026
AZ
Arizona Diamondbacks
2–3
Final
SEA
Seattle Mariners
◆ T-Mobile ParkElevation 10 ftCenter Field 405 ft☀ 63°F SunnyWind 10 mph, In From LF
Merrill Kelly · RHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate18.0% K/BF
vs LHB15.3%
vs RHB22.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.4%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.4 BF
Expected batters faced24.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection4.3 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-165+125
BRBetRivers-155+115
BOVBovada-160+120
DKDraftKings-159+124
FANFanatics-165+125
FDFanDuel-172+128
We project 4.3 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
SEA lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1J.P. Crawford (L)22.1%3.0 PA
2Julio Rodríguez (R)19.6%3.0 PA
3Josh Naylor (L)14.3%3.0 PA
4Randy Arozarena (R)21.5%3.0 PA
5Luke Raley (L)28.1%3.0 PA
6Cole Young (L)19.4%3.0 PA
7Victor Robles (R)20.4%2.4 PA
8Jhonny Pereda (R)20.4%2.0 PA
9Colt Emerson (L)23.4%2.0 PA
Bryce Miller · RHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate23.3% K/BF
vs LHB23.4%
vs RHB22.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.1%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.4 BF
Expected batters faced22.4
From recent starts3
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection4.6 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+110-150
BRBetRivers+110-148
DKDraftKings+111-141
We project 4.6 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
AZ lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Ketel Marte (L)16.4%3.0 PA
2Corbin Carroll (L)23.2%3.0 PA
3Geraldo Perdomo (L)16.1%3.0 PA
4Nolan Arenado (R)17.6%3.0 PA
5Ryan Waldschmidt (R)30.7%2.4 PA
6Ildemaro Vargas (L)13.7%2.0 PA
7Jose Fernandez (R)22.7%2.0 PA
8Gabriel Moreno (R)20.0%2.0 PA
9Tommy Troy (R)21.4%2.0 PA