‹ Strikeouts · Sunday, May 31, 2026
MIN @ PIT Strikeouts matchups · Sunday, May 31, 2026
MIN
Minnesota Twins
3–9
Final
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
◆ PNC ParkElevation 780 ftCenter Field 399 ft☀ 68°F SunnyWind 3 mph, In From CF
Zebby Matthews · RHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate23.3% K/BF
vs LHB28.2%
vs RHB17.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.8%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.4 BF
Expected batters faced23.4
From recent starts3
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection5.4 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BRBetRivers+114-152
BOVBovada+110-145
DKDraftKings+120-153
FANFanatics+115-150
FDFanDuel+112-148
We project 5.4 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Spencer Horwitz (L)15.7%3.0 PA
2Brandon Lowe (L)23.3%3.0 PA
3Jhostynxon Garcia (R)25.1%3.0 PA
4Ryan O'Hearn (L)18.8%3.0 PA
5Nick Gonzales (R)17.4%3.0 PA
6Oneil Cruz (L)29.5%2.4 PA
7Jake Mangum (L)18.9%2.0 PA
8Jared Triolo (R)25.4%2.0 PA
9Henry Davis (R)22.2%2.0 PA
Braxton Ashcraft · RHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate24.4% K/BF
vs LHB26.6%
vs RHB21.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.8%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.6 BF
Expected batters faced24.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection6.1 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-160+120
DKDraftKings-161+126
FDFanDuel-150+124
We project 6.1 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
MIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Austin Martin (R)21.3%3.0 PA
2Brooks Lee (L)17.8%3.0 PA
3Kody Clemens (L)22.8%3.0 PA
4James Outman (L)31.3%3.0 PA
5Trevor Larnach (L)21.2%3.0 PA
6Orlando Arcia (R)18.7%3.0 PA
7Luke Keaschall (R)17.5%2.6 PA
8Tristan Gray (L)25.9%2.0 PA
9Alex Jackson (R)25.2%2.0 PA