MatchWiz
Strikeouts · Wednesday, June 3, 2026

DET @ TB Strikeouts matchups · Wednesday, June 3, 2026

DET
DET
Detroit Tigers
72
Final
TB
Tampa Bay Rays
TB
Tropicana FieldElevation 15 ftCenter Field 404 ft 72°F DomeWind 0 mph, None

DET Troy Melton · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate15.6% K/BF

vs LHB17.3%
vs RHB18.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.2%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.4 BF

Expected batters faced23.4
From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection3.6 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
BRBetRivers+102-136
FDFanDuel-106-125

We project 3.6 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

TB lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Chandler Simpson (L)14.5%3.0 PA
2Junior Caminero (R)19.0%3.0 PA
3Jonathan Aranda (L)23.0%3.0 PA
4Yandy Díaz (R)16.7%3.0 PA
5Richie Palacios (L)20.3%3.0 PA
6Ben Williamson (R)21.1%2.4 PA
7Cedric Mullins (L)20.6%2.0 PA
8Nick Fortes (R)18.1%2.0 PA
9Victor Mesa Jr. (L)22.4%2.0 PA

TB Nick Martinez · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate16.8% K/BF

vs LHB18.4%
vs RHB17.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.8%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.2 BF

Expected batters faced24.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.5 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
BRBetRivers+117-157
FANFanatics+115-150
FDFanDuel+120-148

We project 4.5 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

DET lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Gleyber Torres (R)18.8%3.0 PA
2Kevin McGonigle (L)16.0%3.0 PA
3Dillon Dingler (R)21.1%3.0 PA
4Kerry Carpenter (L)26.5%3.0 PA
5Riley Greene (L)26.1%3.0 PA
6Spencer Torkelson (R)29.4%3.0 PA
7Zack Short (R)22.1%2.2 PA
8Matt Vierling (R)21.8%2.0 PA
9Jake Rogers (R)26.5%2.0 PA