Which pitcher has the best strikeout matchup today (Wednesday, June 3, 2026)?

Chase Burns (CIN) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 6.2 K against KC. A 29% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 22% of the time.

What are the best pitcher strikeout props today?

The top projected-K starts on Wednesday, June 3, 2026: Chase Burns (~6.2 K), Payton Tolle (~6.2 K), Cristopher Sánchez (~6.3 K), Paul Skenes (~6.0 K), Gavin Williams (~6.4 K). The full board ranks every starter.

How is the strikeout matchup score calculated?

It pairs each starter's strikeout rate (K/BF) with the strikeout rate of every hitter he faces, hand by hand, the log5 way — then scales by his expected batters faced (how deep he goes) and his command (K-BB%). Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected strikeout count alongside.

Is the strikeout board about pitchers or hitters?

Pitchers. Every card is a starting pitcher, ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his stuff against the lineup he's facing. So a higher score is good for the pitcher (and his K prop), not the hitters.

What's the projected strikeout number?

A rough expected K total for the start, from how similar matchups have gone. It's a reference for comparing starters against each other, not a promise he throws exactly that many.

Strikeouts per batter faced — the share of hitters a pitcher strikes out. Around 22% is league average. Swing-and-miss starters run 30%+. We split it by batter handedness, which is what a daily matchup is asking.

What is K-BB%, and why does it matter?

Strikeout rate minus walk rate — a command-adjusted read on swing-and-miss skill, and one of the most stable, predictive pitcher numbers there is. A high-K-BB% arm misses bats without handing out free passes, which keeps the strikeout upside real.

Why does the opposing lineup matter so much?

A strikeout takes two. An elite arm gets fewer against a contact lineup, and a mid-rotation guy can pile them up against a whiff-prone one. The model reads each hitter's K rate vs the pitcher's hand, so the same starter grades very differently depending on who he draws.

What's the confidence meter?

How much data backs the read — sample size on the pitcher and the hitters he faces, plus whether the lineup's official. It's a measure of how solid the projection is, not a probability.

Can I use these for strikeout props or DFS?

Yes — that's the point. The board surfaces which starters have the best strikeout conditions and projects a count. Where there's a line, we show the over/under and which side our number leans. We don't post picks — we show the data and grade it. (Best-price odds and the Plays of the Day are a Pro feature.)

Are these confirmed or projected lineups?

Strikeout projections ride on the opposing lineup, so before a team posts officially (~2 hours before first pitch) we project it from their last game, then update once it's set. A pitcher facing a still-projected lineup is flagged so you know the number can still move.

Yes — the full board, every game page, and the daily archive, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

Strikeouts Board · Archive

Best MLB strikeouts matchups — Wednesday, June 3, 2026

Every starting pitcher on the Wednesday, June 3, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by strikeout upside against today's lineup. Whiff rate, the bats he's facing, how deep he goes, and command. Higher means more K's. Results show how each start played out.

Final · 4–1

MIAaway

WSHhomeTop matchup53 Final · 7–2

DETaway

TBhomeTop matchup24 Final · 8–0

CWSaway

MINhomeTop matchup80 Final · 7–1

NYMaway

SEAhomeTop matchup65 Final · 2–3

SDaway

PHIhomeTop matchup92 Final · 1–8

BALaway

BOShomeTop matchup96 Final · 5–4

CLEaway

NYYhomeTop matchup91 Final · 5–2

KCaway

CINhomeTop matchup100 Final · 3–7

TORaway

ATLhomeTop matchup33 Final · 1–0

SFaway

MILhomeTop matchup43 Final · 3–5

TEXaway

STLhomeTop matchup53 Final · 5–4

ATHaway

CHChomeTop matchup40 Final · 9–11

PITaway

HOUhomeTop matchup91 Final · 4–11

COLaway

LAAhomeTop matchup34 Final · 7–0

LADaway

AZhomeTop matchup67

#Pitcher · MatchupScore

Pitcher Strikeout Rate29.3% K/BF

vs LHB28.1%

vs RHB27.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)22.2%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection6.2 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.8% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Carter Jensen (L)26.5%3.0

2. Bobby Witt Jr. (R)21.0%3.0

3. Vinnie Pasquantino (L)16.2%3.0

4. Salvador Perez (R)20.2%3.0

5. Tyler Tolbert (R)23.8%2.7

6. Isaac Collins (L)25.4%2.0

7. Michael Massey (L)19.5%2.0

8. Nick Loftin (R)18.5%2.0

9. Lane Thomas (R)24.7%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

FANFanatics-140+105

FDFanDuel-130+106

BRBetRivers-132+100

We project 6.2 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate27.3% K/BF

vs LHB19.6%

vs RHB29.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.6%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts7

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection6.2 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness23.8% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Taylor Ward (R)20.3%3.0

2. Gunnar Henderson (L)23.1%3.0

3. Adley Rutschman (R)16.0%3.0

4. Pete Alonso (R)23.0%3.0

5. Coby Mayo (R)24.0%3.0

6. Samuel Basallo (L)28.2%2.0

7. Tyler O'Neill (R)27.1%2.0

8. Jackson Holliday (L)26.3%2.0

9. Colton Cowser (L)26.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

FDFanDuel+122-150

FANFanatics+105-140

BRBetRivers+107-143

We project 6.2 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate26.4% K/BF

vs LHB27.8%

vs RHB24.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.3%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload25.8 BF

Expected batters faced25.8

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection6.3 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.4% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)23.1%3.0

2. Miguel Andujar (R)19.4%3.0

3. Manny Machado (R)21.8%3.0

4. Freddy Fermin (R)19.9%3.0

5. Xander Bogaerts (R)18.0%3.0

6. Ty France (R)24.1%3.0

7. Jackson Merrill (L)22.1%3.0

8. Bryce Johnson (R)23.1%2.8

9. Samad Taylor (R)21.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

FDFanDuel-152+124

We project 6.3 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate27.0% K/BF

vs LHB26.1%

vs RHB26.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.7%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection6.0 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.8% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Jeremy Peña (R)18.1%3.0

2. Zach Cole (L)28.0%3.0

3. Christian Walker (R)22.4%3.0

4. Isaac Paredes (R)16.3%3.0

5. Cam Smith (R)24.8%2.9

6. Jake Meyers (R)20.6%2.0

7. Brice Matthews (R)27.1%2.0

8. Nick Allen (R)21.3%2.0

9. Christian Vázquez (R)17.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

FDFanDuel-158+118

MGMBetMGM-155+115

We project 6.0 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate26.5% K/BF

vs LHB25.5%

vs RHB26.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.4%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.9 BF

Expected batters faced24.9

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection6.4 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.3% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Trent Grisham (L)19.1%3.0

2. Ben Rice (L)20.5%3.0

3. Paul Goldschmidt (R)22.9%3.0

4. Cody Bellinger (L)16.1%3.0

5. Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L)25.5%3.0

6. José Caballero (R)16.8%3.0

7. Ryan McMahon (L)28.8%2.9

8. Austin Wells (L)25.7%2.0

9. Anthony Volpe (R)25.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

FDFanDuel-158+116

FANFanatics-160+120

BRBetRivers-139+104

We project 6.4 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate26.4% K/BF

vs LHB26.9%

vs RHB23.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.6%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.6 BF

Expected batters faced23.6

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection6.2 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.6% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Sam Antonacci (L)15.8%3.0

2. Luisangel Acuña (R)24.4%3.0

3. Andrew Benintendi (L)22.1%3.0

4. Colson Montgomery (L)28.3%3.0

5. Chase Meidroth (R)21.3%3.0

6. Jacob Gonzalez (L)22.0%2.6

7. Tristan Peters (L)19.3%2.0

8. Drew Romo (L)24.1%2.0

9. Derek Hill (R)25.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

FDFanDuel-138+112

BRBetRivers-148+110

We project 6.2 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate26.6% K/BF

vs LHB27.3%

vs RHB24.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.6%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.4 BF

Expected batters faced23.4

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.7 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness20.9% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Geraldo Perdomo (L)16.0%3.0

2. Corbin Carroll (L)22.3%3.0

3. Gabriel Moreno (R)20.0%3.0

4. Nolan Arenado (R)18.9%3.0

5. Pavin Smith (L)23.9%3.0

6. Ryan Waldschmidt (R)32.1%2.4

7. Ildemaro Vargas (L)13.5%2.0

8. Jose Fernandez (R)20.9%2.0

9. Tommy Troy (R)20.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

FDFanDuel+112-148

DKDraftKings+107-137

BOVBovada+110-145

MGMBetMGM-105-125

BRBetRivers+106-141

We project 5.7 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate24.4% K/BF

vs LHB23.3%

vs RHB25.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.5%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.8 BF

Expected batters faced23.8

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.5 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.5% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. J.P. Crawford (L)22.7%3.0

2. Julio Rodríguez (R)21.2%3.0

3. Josh Naylor (L)15.0%3.0

4. Randy Arozarena (R)21.1%3.0

5. Luke Raley (L)27.2%3.0

6. Cole Young (L)19.1%2.8

7. Rob Refsnyder (R)24.1%2.0

8. Jhonny Pereda (R)18.3%2.0

9. Colt Emerson (L)25.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

FDFanDuel-154+116

We project 5.5 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate24.9% K/BF

vs LHB28.7%

vs RHB19.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.0%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.3 BF

Expected batters faced23.3

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.6 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness20.8% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. James Wood (L)25.7%3.0

2. Dylan Crews (R)22.3%3.0

3. Curtis Mead (R)20.9%3.0

4. CJ Abrams (L)18.3%3.0

5. Jacob Young (R)19.9%3.0

6. Daylen Lile (L)17.9%2.3

7. Keibert Ruiz (L)16.8%2.0

8. Luis García Jr. (L)17.4%2.0

9. José Tena (L)27.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

FDFanDuel-114-118

FANFanatics-110-120

DKDraftKings-114-112

BOVBovada-105-125

MGMBetMGM+100-135

BRBetRivers-108-124

We project 5.6 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate23.9% K/BF

vs LHB21.5%

vs RHB24.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.9%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.2 BF

Expected batters faced22.2

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.1 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.1% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Masyn Winn (R)21.8%3.0

2. Iván Herrera (R)18.1%3.0

3. Jordan Walker (R)21.6%3.0

4. Nelson Velázquez (R)22.8%3.0

5. Alec Burleson (L)16.9%2.3

6. José Fermín (R)18.1%2.0

7. Nolan Gorman (L)25.1%2.0

8. Thomas Saggese (R)24.1%2.0

9. Victor Scott II (L)21.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

FDFanDuel+110-146

FANFanatics+110-145

BRBetRivers+118-157

We project 5.1 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate24.4% K/BF

vs LHB24.9%

vs RHB22.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.9%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9

From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.2 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness20.3% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Travis Bazzana (L)15.9%3.0

2. José Ramírez (L)16.9%3.0

3. Chase DeLauter (L)15.0%3.0

4. Kyle Manzardo (L)31.5%3.0

5. Rhys Hoskins (R)26.1%2.9

6. Angel Martínez (L)23.5%2.0

7. Steven Kwan (L)12.8%2.0

8. Patrick Bailey (L)23.1%2.0

9. Brayan Rocchio (L)17.5%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

FDFanDuel-106-114

BRBetRivers-114-117

We project 5.2 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.0% K/BF

vs LHB18.6%

vs RHB22.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.8%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.8 BF

Expected batters faced23.8

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.9 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness23.1% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Carson Benge (L)22.1%3.0

2. Bo Bichette (R)19.5%3.0

3. Juan Soto (L)17.5%3.0

4. Jared Young (L)25.9%3.0

5. Brett Baty (L)25.8%3.0

6. Marcus Semien (R)20.1%2.8

7. A.J. Ewing (L)28.9%2.0

8. MJ Melendez (L)26.8%2.0

9. Luis Torrens (R)21.5%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

FDFanDuel-110-110

FANFanatics-120-110

BRBetRivers-117-114

We project 4.9 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate22.1% K/BF

vs LHB22.5%

vs RHB21.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.2%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.1 BF

Expected batters faced24.1

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.2 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.1% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Christian Yelich (L)28.7%3.0

2. Andrew Vaughn (R)18.0%3.0

3. Brice Turang (L)22.1%3.0

4. William Contreras (R)16.9%3.0

5. Jake Bauers (L)24.6%3.0

6. Jackson Chourio (R)22.7%3.0

7. Blake Perkins (L)24.9%2.1

8. Luis Rengifo (L)14.2%2.0

9. Joey Ortiz (R)17.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

FANFanatics+110-145

FDFanDuel+112-148

BRBetRivers+107-141

We project 5.2 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate21.6% K/BF

vs LHB21.7%

vs RHB22.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.0%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.9 BF

Expected batters faced23.9

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.9 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.2% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Spencer Horwitz (L)15.4%3.0

2. Brandon Lowe (L)23.2%3.0

3. Bryan Reynolds (L)22.3%3.0

4. Nick Gonzales (R)18.0%3.0

5. Jake Mangum (L)18.2%3.0

6. Ryan O'Hearn (L)20.2%2.9

7. Jhostynxon Garcia (R)25.1%2.0

8. Jared Triolo (R)26.5%2.0

9. Endy Rodríguez (L)22.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

FDFanDuel-114-106

FANFanatics-120-110

MGMBetMGM-135+100

BRBetRivers-120-110

We project 4.9 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate21.1% K/BF

vs LHB20.6%

vs RHB21.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.2%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.1 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.9% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Nico Hoerner (R)14.3%3.0

2. Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)25.9%3.0

3. Alex Bregman (R)20.0%3.0

4. Seiya Suzuki (R)23.2%3.0

5. Ian Happ (R)28.5%3.0

6. Dansby Swanson (R)25.5%2.1

7. Michael Busch (L)23.6%2.0

8. Pedro Ramírez (R)22.0%2.0

9. Kevin Alcántara (R)22.7%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

FDFanDuel-114-114

FANFanatics-110-120

BRBetRivers-117-114

We project 5.1 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate19.7% K/BF

vs LHB19.8%

vs RHB20.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.0%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.2 BF

Expected batters faced23.2

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.8 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.7% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Henry Bolte (R)21.8%3.0

2. Nick Kurtz (L)25.4%3.0

3. Shea Langeliers (R)20.0%3.0

4. Tyler Soderstrom (L)17.4%3.0

5. Brent Rooker (R)26.1%3.0

6. Lawrence Butler (L)23.1%2.3

7. Zack Gelof (R)27.9%2.0

8. Jeff McNeil (L)17.3%2.0

9. Alika Williams (R)25.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

FDFanDuel-124+102

BRBetRivers-120-112

We project 4.8 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate21.6% K/BF

vs LHB20.0%

vs RHB23.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.8%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.8 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.7% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Chad Stevens (R)25.3%3.0

2. Tyler Freeman (R)13.4%3.0

3. TJ Rumfield (L)17.5%3.0

4. Braxton Fulford (R)23.0%3.0

5. Troy Johnston (L)21.3%2.7

6. Willi Castro (L)25.4%2.0

7. Sterlin Thompson (L)22.0%2.0

8. Kyle Karros (R)22.9%2.0

9. Edouard Julien (L)24.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

FDFanDuel-164+134

FANFanatics-165+125

BOVBovada-185+140

MGMBetMGM-145+105

BRBetRivers-148+112

We project 4.8 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate24.4% K/BF

vs LHB25.1%

vs RHB21.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.6%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.3 BF

Expected batters faced22.3

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.7 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness20.0% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Nathan Lukes (L)17.0%3.0

2. Myles Straw (R)16.6%3.0

3. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)13.1%3.0

4. Jesús Sánchez (L)22.9%3.0

5. Ernie Clement (R)13.1%2.3

6. Daulton Varsho (L)21.8%2.0

7. Kazuma Okamoto (R)32.6%2.0

8. Andrés Giménez (L)20.9%2.0

9. Brandon Valenzuela (L)21.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

FDFanDuel-110-110

BRBetRivers-112-120

We project 4.7 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.3% K/BF

vs LHB22.3%

vs RHB19.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.6%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.1 BF

Expected batters faced22.1

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.6 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.4% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Ronald Acuña Jr. (R)24.8%3.0

2. Michael Harris II (L)20.6%3.0

3. Matt Olson (L)22.1%3.0

4. Ozzie Albies (R)12.9%3.0

5. Mauricio Dubón (R)16.4%2.1

6. Austin Riley (R)29.7%2.0

7. Mike Yastrzemski (L)25.0%2.0

8. Ha-Seong Kim (R)23.2%2.0

9. Sandy León (R)26.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

FDFanDuel-144+108

FANFanatics-140+105

BRBetRivers-137+104

We project 4.6 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.1% K/BF

vs LHB22.2%

vs RHB19.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.4%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5

From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.8 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.4% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Jonah Cox (R)22.0%3.0

2. Rafael Devers (L)27.4%3.0

3. Luis Arraez (L)14.4%3.0

4. Willy Adames (R)24.0%3.0

5. Jung Hoo Lee (L)18.3%2.5

6. Matt Chapman (R)21.7%2.0

7. Bryce Eldridge (L)27.3%2.0

8. Daniel Susac (R)21.2%2.0

9. Drew Gilbert (L)25.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

FDFanDuel+120-148

We project 4.8 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate19.1% K/BF

vs LHB19.9%

vs RHB19.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.3%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.9 BF

Expected batters faced21.9

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.6 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.9% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Kyle Schwarber (L)31.7%3.0

2. Trea Turner (R)22.7%3.0

3. Bryce Harper (L)19.9%3.0

4. Brandon Marsh (L)23.7%2.9

5. Alec Bohm (R)16.4%2.0

6. Bryson Stott (L)19.7%2.0

7. J.T. Realmuto (R)21.3%2.0

8. Adolis García (R)30.2%2.0

9. Justin Crawford (L)20.2%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

FANFanatics-150+115

BRBetRivers-162+120

We project 4.6 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate23.0% K/BF

vs LHB22.8%

vs RHB22.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.2%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload19.1 BF

Expected batters faced19.1

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.3 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.0% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Heriberto Hernández (R)23.2%3.0

2. Otto Lopez (R)17.1%2.1

3. Kyle Stowers (L)24.3%2.0

4. Xavier Edwards (R)18.7%2.0

5. Liam Hicks (L)20.8%2.0

6. Jakob Marsee (L)25.5%2.0

7. Owen Caissie (L)29.3%2.0

8. Javier Sanoja (R)17.1%2.0

9. Joe Mack (L)22.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

FDFanDuel+102-124

DKDraftKings+100-128

MGMBetMGM+115-155

BRBetRivers+115-155

We project 4.3 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate16.8% K/BF

vs LHB18.4%

vs RHB17.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.8%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.2 BF

Expected batters faced24.2

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.5 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness23.1% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Gleyber Torres (R)18.8%3.0

2. Kevin McGonigle (L)16.0%3.0

3. Dillon Dingler (R)21.1%3.0

4. Kerry Carpenter (L)26.5%3.0

5. Riley Greene (L)26.1%3.0

6. Spencer Torkelson (R)29.4%3.0

7. Zack Short (R)22.1%2.2

8. Matt Vierling (R)21.8%2.0

9. Jake Rogers (R)26.5%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

FDFanDuel+120-148

FANFanatics+115-150

BRBetRivers+117-157

We project 4.5 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate18.0% K/BF

vs LHB18.3%

vs RHB18.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.8%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.4 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.3% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Jo Adell (R)24.6%3.0

2. Mike Trout (R)22.9%3.0

3. Wade Meckler (L)18.3%3.0

4. Vaughn Grissom (R)16.4%3.0

5. Oswald Peraza (R)23.5%3.0

6. Donovan Walton (L)21.9%2.1

7. Nick Madrigal (R)21.4%2.0

8. Jose Siri (R)26.0%2.0

9. Logan O'Hoppe (R)25.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

FDFanDuel-112-118

DKDraftKings-109-117

BOVBovada-110-120

MGMBetMGM+100-135

BRBetRivers+104-137

We project 4.4 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate17.5% K/BF

vs LHB19.2%

vs RHB17.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.7%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.5 BF

Expected batters faced23.5

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.5 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness23.3% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Blake Dunn (R)23.5%3.0

2. JJ Bleday (L)21.7%3.0

3. Sal Stewart (R)21.5%3.0

4. Dane Myers (R)23.0%3.0

5. Eugenio Suárez (R)26.0%3.0

6. Spencer Steer (R)23.9%2.5

7. Will Benson (L)26.7%2.0

8. Edwin Arroyo (L)22.0%2.0

9. Noelvi Marte (R)21.5%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

FDFanDuel+110-146

BRBetRivers-105-127

We project 4.5 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate18.8% K/BF

vs LHB19.4%

vs RHB19.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.8%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.4 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.9% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Joc Pederson (L)19.5%3.0

2. Josh Jung (R)20.3%3.0

3. Brandon Nimmo (L)22.7%3.0

4. Jake Burger (R)25.7%3.0

5. Ezequiel Duran (R)23.3%2.8

6. Cody Freeman (R)17.9%2.0

7. Justin Foscue (R)23.8%2.0

8. Kyle Higashioka (R)24.6%2.0

9. Michael Helman (R)19.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

FDFanDuel-162+132

BRBetRivers-167+125

We project 4.4 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate17.8% K/BF

vs LHB18.2%

vs RHB19.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.3%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.0 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness20.4% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Jarren Duran (L)27.6%3.0

2. Ceddanne Rafaela (R)17.8%3.0

3. Wilyer Abreu (L)22.4%3.0

4. Willson Contreras (R)25.2%3.0

5. Masataka Yoshida (L)16.2%3.0

6. Mickey Gasper (L)20.7%2.0

7. Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)17.2%2.0

8. Marcelo Mayer (L)19.3%2.0

9. Caleb Durbin (R)17.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

FDFanDuel+130-174

We project 4.0 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate18.9% K/BF

vs LHB17.3%

vs RHB21.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.9%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection3.9 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness19.7% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Shohei Ohtani (L)22.5%3.0

2. Andy Pages (R)18.9%3.0

3. Freddie Freeman (L)18.9%3.0

4. Miguel Rojas (R)16.6%3.0

5. Kyle Tucker (L)20.1%2.5

6. Santiago Espinal (R)19.9%2.0

7. Will Smith (R)17.2%2.0

8. Alex Call (R)18.9%2.0

9. Alex Freeland (L)23.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

FDFanDuel+152-188

DKDraftKings+131-168

BOVBovada+150-200

MGMBetMGM+130-175

BRBetRivers+125-167

We project 3.9 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate16.9% K/BF

vs LHB17.6%

vs RHB17.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.9%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.2 BF

Expected batters faced22.2

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.0 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.7% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. James Outman (L)31.4%3.0

2. Brooks Lee (L)19.1%3.0

3. Trevor Larnach (L)21.0%3.0

4. Josh Bell (L)21.7%3.0

5. Austin Martin (R)20.1%2.3

6. Victor Caratini (L)18.5%2.0

7. Luke Keaschall (R)16.4%2.0

8. Ryan Kreidler (R)28.1%2.0

9. Orlando Arcia (R)19.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

FDFanDuel+128-172

FANFanatics+125-165

BRBetRivers+133-180

We project 4.0 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate15.6% K/BF

vs LHB17.3%

vs RHB18.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.2%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.4 BF

Expected batters faced23.4

From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection3.6 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness19.5% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Chandler Simpson (L)14.5%3.0

2. Junior Caminero (R)19.0%3.0

3. Jonathan Aranda (L)23.0%3.0

4. Yandy Díaz (R)16.7%3.0

5. Richie Palacios (L)20.3%3.0

6. Ben Williamson (R)21.1%2.4

7. Cedric Mullins (L)20.6%2.0

8. Nick Fortes (R)18.1%2.0

9. Victor Mesa Jr. (L)22.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

FDFanDuel-106-125

BRBetRivers+102-136

We project 3.6 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Best MLB Strikeout Pitcher Matchups — Wednesday, June 3, 2026

Chase Burns (CIN) is the top strikeout start on the Wednesday, June 3, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 6.2 K, with Payton Tolle (BOS) right behind. Every starter on the slate is ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his whiff rate, the lineup he's facing, how deep he goes, and his command. It's the same read DFS and strikeout-prop players make before lock.

Top strikeout spot: Chase Burns

Chase Burns (CIN) is the best strikeout matchup on the board at 100, projected for about 6.2 K against KC. He's missing bats at a 29% clip — strikeouts per batter faced — and KC has been around league average, going down 22% of the time. He's lined up for about 23 batters, so the volume's there for a big number.

The rest of the top of the board

Payton Tolle (BOS) (96) — about 6.2 K vs BAL: a 27% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 24% of the time.
Cristopher Sánchez (PHI) (92) — about 6.3 K vs SD: a 26% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 21% of the time.
Paul Skenes (PIT) (91) — about 6.0 K vs HOU: a 27% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 22% of the time.
Gavin Williams (CLE) (91) — about 6.4 K vs NYY: a 27% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 22% of the time.
Taj Bradley (MIN) (80) — about 6.2 K vs CWS: a 26% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 23% of the time.

Whiffiest lineups to attack today

BAL is striking out 24% of the time in this spot — Payton Tolle is the arm to exploit it (96).
CIN is striking out 23% of the time in this spot — Stephen Kolek is the arm to exploit it (22).
DET is striking out 23% of the time in this spot — Nick Martinez is the arm to exploit it (24).
NYM is striking out 23% of the time in this spot — George Kirby is the arm to exploit it (50).

How it played out

The top 10 starts averaged 6.4 strikeouts. Top play Chase Burns punched out 9. We grade every projection against the box score so you can see how the board held up.

How to read these strikeout matchups

Each starter's score (0–100) blends his strikeout rate against every hitter in the lineup — hand by hand, combined the log5 way — then scales by how deep he's been going (expected batters faced) and his command (K-BB%). Higher means more whiffs point his way. We project a strikeout count and grade every start against what actually happened.

Keep reading

Frequently asked questions

Which pitcher has the best strikeout matchup today (Wednesday, June 3, 2026)?: Chase Burns (CIN) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 6.2 K against KC. A 29% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 22% of the time.
What are the best pitcher strikeout props today?: The top projected-K starts on Wednesday, June 3, 2026: Chase Burns (~6.2 K), Payton Tolle (~6.2 K), Cristopher Sánchez (~6.3 K), Paul Skenes (~6.0 K), Gavin Williams (~6.4 K). The full board ranks every starter.
How many strikeouts did the top matchup get on Wednesday, June 3, 2026?: Chase Burns punched out 9.
How is the strikeout matchup score calculated?: It pairs each starter's strikeout rate (K/BF) with the strikeout rate of every hitter he faces, hand by hand, the log5 way — then scales by his expected batters faced (how deep he goes) and his command (K-BB%). Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected strikeout count alongside.
Is the strikeout board about pitchers or hitters?: Pitchers. Every card is a starting pitcher, ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his stuff against the lineup he's facing. So a higher score is good for the pitcher (and his K prop), not the hitters.
What's the projected strikeout number?: A rough expected K total for the start, from how similar matchups have gone. It's a reference for comparing starters against each other, not a promise he throws exactly that many.
What does K/BF mean?: Strikeouts per batter faced — the share of hitters a pitcher strikes out. Around 22% is league average. Swing-and-miss starters run 30%+. We split it by batter handedness, which is what a daily matchup is asking.
What is K-BB%, and why does it matter?: Strikeout rate minus walk rate — a command-adjusted read on swing-and-miss skill, and one of the most stable, predictive pitcher numbers there is. A high-K-BB% arm misses bats without handing out free passes, which keeps the strikeout upside real.
Why does the opposing lineup matter so much?: A strikeout takes two. An elite arm gets fewer against a contact lineup, and a mid-rotation guy can pile them up against a whiff-prone one. The model reads each hitter's K rate vs the pitcher's hand, so the same starter grades very differently depending on who he draws.
What's the confidence meter?: How much data backs the read — sample size on the pitcher and the hitters he faces, plus whether the lineup's official. It's a measure of how solid the projection is, not a probability.
Can I use these for strikeout props or DFS?: Yes — that's the point. The board surfaces which starters have the best strikeout conditions and projects a count. Where there's a line, we show the over/under and which side our number leans. We don't post picks — we show the data and grade it. (Best-price odds and the Plays of the Day are a Pro feature.)
Are these confirmed or projected lineups?: Strikeout projections ride on the opposing lineup, so before a team posts officially (~2 hours before first pitch) we project it from their last game, then update once it's set. A pitcher facing a still-projected lineup is flagged so you know the number can still move.
Is MatchWiz free?: Yes — the full board, every game page, and the daily archive, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.