‹ Strikeouts · Wednesday, June 3, 2026
PIT @ HOU Strikeouts matchups · Wednesday, June 3, 2026
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
9–11
Final
HOU
Houston Astros
◆ Daikin ParkElevation 45 ftCenter Field 409 ft☀ 73°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None
Paul Skenes · RHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate27.0% K/BF
vs LHB26.1%
vs RHB26.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.7%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.9 BF
Expected batters faced22.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection6.0 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-155+115
FDFanDuel-158+118
We project 6.0 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
HOU lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jeremy Peña (R)18.1%3.0 PA
2Zach Cole (L)28.0%3.0 PA
3Christian Walker (R)22.4%3.0 PA
4Isaac Paredes (R)16.3%3.0 PA
5Cam Smith (R)24.8%2.9 PA
6Jake Meyers (R)20.6%2.0 PA
7Brice Matthews (R)27.1%2.0 PA
8Nick Allen (R)21.3%2.0 PA
9Christian Vázquez (R)17.8%2.0 PA
Spencer Arrighetti · RHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate21.6% K/BF
vs LHB21.7%
vs RHB22.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.0%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.9 BF
Expected batters faced23.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection4.9 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-135+100
BRBetRivers-120-110
FANFanatics-120-110
FDFanDuel-114-106
We project 4.9 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Spencer Horwitz (L)15.4%3.0 PA
2Brandon Lowe (L)23.2%3.0 PA
3Bryan Reynolds (L)22.3%3.0 PA
4Nick Gonzales (R)18.0%3.0 PA
5Jake Mangum (L)18.2%3.0 PA
6Ryan O'Hearn (L)20.2%2.9 PA
7Jhostynxon Garcia (R)25.1%2.0 PA
8Jared Triolo (R)26.5%2.0 PA
9Endy Rodríguez (L)22.0%2.0 PA