MatchWiz
Strikeouts · Wednesday, June 3, 2026

KC @ CIN Strikeouts matchups · Wednesday, June 3, 2026

KC
KC
Kansas City Royals
52
Final
CIN
Cincinnati Reds
CIN
Great American Ball ParkElevation 535 ftCenter Field 404 ft 79°F ClearWind 3 mph, In From LF

KC Stephen Kolek · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate17.5% K/BF

vs LHB19.2%
vs RHB17.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.7%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.5 BF

Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.5 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
BRBetRivers-105-127
FDFanDuel+110-146

We project 4.5 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

CIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Blake Dunn (R)23.5%3.0 PA
2JJ Bleday (L)21.7%3.0 PA
3Sal Stewart (R)21.5%3.0 PA
4Dane Myers (R)23.0%3.0 PA
5Eugenio Suárez (R)26.0%3.0 PA
6Spencer Steer (R)23.9%2.5 PA
7Will Benson (L)26.7%2.0 PA
8Edwin Arroyo (L)22.0%2.0 PA
9Noelvi Marte (R)21.5%2.0 PA

CIN Chase Burns · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate29.3% K/BF

vs LHB28.1%
vs RHB27.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)22.2%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection6.2 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
BRBetRivers-132+100
FANFanatics-140+105
FDFanDuel-130+106

We project 6.2 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

KC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Carter Jensen (L)26.5%3.0 PA
2Bobby Witt Jr. (R)21.0%3.0 PA
3Vinnie Pasquantino (L)16.2%3.0 PA
4Salvador Perez (R)20.2%3.0 PA
5Tyler Tolbert (R)23.8%2.7 PA
6Isaac Collins (L)25.4%2.0 PA
7Michael Massey (L)19.5%2.0 PA
8Nick Loftin (R)18.5%2.0 PA
9Lane Thomas (R)24.7%2.0 PA