‹ Strikeouts · Wednesday, June 3, 2026
BAL @ BOS Strikeouts matchups · Wednesday, June 3, 2026
BAL
Baltimore Orioles
1–8
Final
BOS
Boston Red Sox
◆ Fenway ParkElevation 21 ftCenter Field 420 ft☀ 80°F ClearWind 10 mph, Out To LF
Chris Bassitt · RHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate17.8% K/BF
vs LHB18.2%
vs RHB19.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.3%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.0 BF
Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection4.0 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
FDFanDuel+130-174
We project 4.0 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
BOS lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jarren Duran (L)27.6%3.0 PA
2Ceddanne Rafaela (R)17.8%3.0 PA
3Wilyer Abreu (L)22.4%3.0 PA
4Willson Contreras (R)25.2%3.0 PA
5Masataka Yoshida (L)16.2%3.0 PA
6Mickey Gasper (L)20.7%2.0 PA
7Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)17.2%2.0 PA
8Marcelo Mayer (L)19.3%2.0 PA
9Caleb Durbin (R)17.6%2.0 PA
Payton Tolle · LHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate27.3% K/BF
vs LHB19.6%
vs RHB29.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.6%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.0 BF
Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts7
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection6.2 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
FDFanDuel+122-150
FANFanatics+105-140
BRBetRivers+107-143
We project 6.2 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
BAL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Taylor Ward (R)20.3%3.0 PA
2Gunnar Henderson (L)23.1%3.0 PA
3Adley Rutschman (R)16.0%3.0 PA
4Pete Alonso (R)23.0%3.0 PA
5Coby Mayo (R)24.0%3.0 PA
6Samuel Basallo (L)28.2%2.0 PA
7Tyler O'Neill (R)27.1%2.0 PA
8Jackson Holliday (L)26.3%2.0 PA
9Colton Cowser (L)26.6%2.0 PA