‹ Strikeouts · Thursday, June 4, 2026
SD @ PHI Strikeouts matchups · Thursday, June 4, 2026
SD
San Diego Padres
4–6
Final
PHI
Philadelphia Phillies
◆ Citizens Bank ParkElevation 20 ftCenter Field 401 ft☀ 87°F SunnyWind 7 mph, L To R
Lucas Giolito · RHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate16.6% K/BF
vs LHB16.1%
vs RHB20.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.7%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.9 BF
Expected batters faced21.9
From recent starts3
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection4.1 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-140+105
BRBetRivers-143+108
BOVBovada-135+105
DKDraftKings-144+113
FDFanDuel-136+102
We project 4.1 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
PHI lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Kyle Schwarber (L)32.2%3.0 PA
2Trea Turner (R)22.8%3.0 PA
3Bryce Harper (L)19.6%3.0 PA
4Brandon Marsh (L)22.9%2.9 PA
5Alec Bohm (R)16.0%2.0 PA
6Bryson Stott (L)18.7%2.0 PA
7J.T. Realmuto (R)20.8%2.0 PA
8Adolis García (R)29.8%2.0 PA
9Justin Crawford (L)20.9%2.0 PA
Zack Wheeler · RHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate24.5% K/BF
vs LHB23.8%
vs RHB24.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.3%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.2 BF
Expected batters faced23.2
From recent starts7
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection5.6 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-110-120
BRBetRivers-106-125
BOVBovada-120-110
DKDraftKings-109-117
FANFanatics-120-110
FDFanDuel-115-105
We project 5.6 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
SD lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)18.1%3.0 PA
2Gavin Sheets (L)22.4%3.0 PA
3Manny Machado (R)22.7%3.0 PA
4Ty France (R)22.1%3.0 PA
5Jackson Merrill (L)24.0%3.0 PA
6Xander Bogaerts (R)19.8%2.2 PA
7Miguel Andujar (R)18.9%2.0 PA
8Jase Bowen (R)22.0%2.0 PA
9Bryce Johnson (L)25.4%2.0 PA