‹ Strikeouts · Thursday, June 4, 2026
KC @ MIN Strikeouts matchups · Thursday, June 4, 2026
KC
Kansas City Royals
8–6
Final
MIN
Minnesota Twins
◆ Target FieldElevation 828 ftCenter Field 404 ft☀ 83°F CloudyWind 9 mph, Out To LF
Seth Lugo · RHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.1% K/BF
vs LHB21.2%
vs RHB19.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.8%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.4 BF
Expected batters faced24.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection4.8 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-150+110
BRBetRivers-127-105
BOVBovada-135+105
DKDraftKings-131+103
FANFanatics-130+100
FDFanDuel-130-102
We project 4.8 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
MIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Byron Buxton (R)25.8%3.0 PA
2Brooks Lee (L)19.1%3.0 PA
3Kody Clemens (L)23.5%3.0 PA
4Austin Martin (R)19.5%3.0 PA
5Josh Bell (L)22.3%3.0 PA
6Luke Keaschall (R)16.8%3.0 PA
7Victor Caratini (L)19.0%2.4 PA
8Tristan Gray (L)24.3%2.0 PA
9Orlando Arcia (R)18.9%2.0 PA
Andrew Morris · RHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate21.8% K/BF
vs LHB21.7%
vs RHB21.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.9%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload13.6 BF
Expected batters faced13.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection3.0 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
KC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Carter Jensen (L)28.0%2.0 PA
2Bobby Witt Jr. (R)21.1%2.0 PA
3Vinnie Pasquantino (L)15.7%2.0 PA
4Tyler Tolbert (R)23.8%2.0 PA
5Lane Thomas (R)24.2%1.6 PA
6Isaac Collins (L)26.1%1.0 PA
7Alex Lange (R)22.0%1.0 PA
8Josh Rojas (L)23.0%1.0 PA
9Kyle Isbel (L)21.3%1.0 PA