PIT @ HOU Strikeouts matchups · Thursday, June 4, 2026

PIT

Pittsburgh Pirates

5–1

Final

HOU

Houston Astros

◆ Daikin ParkElevation 45 ftCenter Field 409 ft☀ 73°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None

Jared Jones · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate24.1% K/BF

vs LHB22.8%

vs RHB24.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.5%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.3 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-125-105

BRBetRivers-103-130

BOVBovada-120-110

DKDraftKings-112-114

FANFanatics-120-110

FDFanDuel-112-118

We project 5.3 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

HOU lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Jeremy Peña (R)17.9%3.0 PA

2Yordan Alvarez (L)19.6%3.0 PA

3Christian Walker (R)23.4%3.0 PA

4Isaac Paredes (R)16.4%3.0 PA

5LaMonte Wade Jr. (L)24.3%2.8 PA

6Cam Smith (R)24.9%2.0 PA

7Taylor Trammell (L)29.9%2.0 PA

8Collin Price (R)22.0%2.0 PA

9Jake Meyers (R)20.9%2.0 PA

Kai-Wei Teng · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate25.6% K/BF

vs LHB24.8%

vs RHB24.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.3%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload18.1 BF

Expected batters faced18.1

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.4 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Spencer Horwitz (L)15.1%2.1 PA

2Brandon Lowe (L)23.6%2.0 PA

3Bryan Reynolds (L)23.0%2.0 PA

4Ryan O'Hearn (L)20.8%2.0 PA

5Nick Gonzales (R)17.6%2.0 PA

6Oneil Cruz (L)29.4%2.0 PA

7Endy Rodríguez (L)22.1%2.0 PA

8Jake Mangum (L)17.8%2.0 PA

9Jared Triolo (R)26.8%2.0 PA