‹ Strikeouts · Thursday, June 4, 2026
BAL @ BOS Strikeouts matchups · Thursday, June 4, 2026
BAL
Baltimore Orioles
8–2
Final
BOS
Boston Red Sox
◆ Fenway ParkElevation 21 ftCenter Field 420 ft☀ 87°F SunnyWind 10 mph, Out To LF
Trevor Rogers · LHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate18.2% K/BF
vs LHB22.9%
vs RHB17.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.7%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.1 BF
Expected batters faced22.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection4.2 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+125-165
BRBetRivers+115-155
BOVBovada+110-145
DKDraftKings+112-143
FANFanatics+110-145
FDFanDuel+114-152
We project 4.2 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
BOS lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Jarren Duran (L)24.1%3.0 PA
2Ceddanne Rafaela (R)26.1%3.0 PA
3Wilyer Abreu (L)19.0%3.0 PA
4Willson Contreras (R)20.0%3.0 PA
5Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)20.6%2.1 PA
6Anthony Seigler (L)22.2%2.0 PA
7Caleb Durbin (R)17.1%2.0 PA
8Carlos Narváez (R)22.2%2.0 PA
9Connor Wong (R)21.3%2.0 PA
Brayan Bello · RHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate18.8% K/BF
vs LHB16.9%
vs RHB22.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.0%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.0 BF
Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection4.4 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BRBetRivers-150+112
BOVBovada-170+130
DKDraftKings-163+128
FDFanDuel-162+132
We project 4.4 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
BAL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Taylor Ward (R)22.9%3.0 PA
2Gunnar Henderson (L)22.7%3.0 PA
3Adley Rutschman (L)17.7%3.0 PA
4Pete Alonso (R)21.0%3.0 PA
5Samuel Basallo (L)21.2%3.0 PA
6Leody Taveras (L)23.3%2.0 PA
7Colton Cowser (L)25.1%2.0 PA
8Coby Mayo (R)28.0%2.0 PA
9Jackson Holliday (L)20.5%2.0 PA