MatchWiz
Strikeouts · Sunday, June 7, 2026

NYM @ SD Strikeouts matchups · Sunday, June 7, 2026

NYM
NYM
New York Mets
73
Final
SD
San Diego Padres
SD
Petco ParkElevation 23 ftCenter Field 396 ft 70°F Partly CloudyWind 9 mph, L To R

NYM Huascar Brazobán · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate21.7% K/BF

vs LHB19.0%
vs RHB24.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.0%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload14.1 BF

Expected batters faced14.1
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection3.3 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

SD lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)19.0%2.0 PA
2Jackson Merrill (L)24.1%2.0 PA
3Ty France (R)22.6%2.0 PA
4Manny Machado (R)22.6%2.0 PA
5Xander Bogaerts (R)20.6%2.0 PA
6Bryce Johnson (L)24.5%1.1 PA
7Jase Bowen (R)22.0%1.0 PA
8Samad Taylor (R)22.8%1.0 PA
9Freddy Fermin (R)22.7%1.0 PA

SD Randy Vásquez · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate17.5% K/BF

vs LHB18.8%
vs RHB18.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.3%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.3 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
FDFanDuel-140+114
FANFanatics-140+105
BOVBovada-145+110
DKDraftKings-140+110
BRBetRivers-143+108
MGMBetMGM-155+115

We project 4.3 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

NYM lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Carson Benge (L)23.2%3.0 PA
2Bo Bichette (R)19.4%3.0 PA
3Juan Soto (L)17.2%3.0 PA
4Jared Young (L)24.1%3.0 PA
5A.J. Ewing (L)27.8%2.7 PA
6Marcus Semien (R)19.3%2.0 PA
7Brett Baty (L)26.7%2.0 PA
8MJ Melendez (L)26.0%2.0 PA
9Luis Torrens (R)22.4%2.0 PA