PIT @ ATL Strikeouts matchups · Sunday, June 7, 2026

PIT

Pittsburgh Pirates

2–3

Final

ATL

Atlanta Braves

◆ Truist ParkElevation 1,001 ftCenter Field 400 ft☀ 78°F CloudyWind 4 mph, Calm

Mason Montgomery · LHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate26.5% K/BF

vs LHB25.0%

vs RHB26.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.8%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload13.7 BF

Expected batters faced13.7

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection3.4 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

ATL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA

1Ronald Acuña Jr. (R)26.0%2.0 PA

2Mauricio Dubón (R)16.1%2.0 PA

3Matt Olson (L)22.4%2.0 PA

4Ozzie Albies (R)13.5%2.0 PA

5Dominic Smith (L)19.8%1.7 PA

6Austin Riley (R)28.2%1.0 PA

7Mike Yastrzemski (L)24.1%1.0 PA

8Jorge Mateo (R)25.4%1.0 PA

9Austin Wynns (R)21.6%1.0 PA

Bryce Elder · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.0% K/BF

vs LHB20.4%

vs RHB20.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.8%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.1 BF

Expected batters faced24.1

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.0 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

FDFanDuel-140+114

FANFanatics-140+105

BOVBovada-150+115

MGMBetMGM-140+105

DKDraftKings-136+107

BRBetRivers-150+112

We project 5.0 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Davis Wendzel (R)25.0%3.0 PA

2Nick Gonzales (R)17.5%3.0 PA

3Bryan Reynolds (L)21.5%3.0 PA

4Ryan O'Hearn (L)20.3%3.0 PA

5Oneil Cruz (L)28.5%3.0 PA

6Tyler Callihan (L)19.6%3.0 PA

7Jake Mangum (L)18.5%2.1 PA

8Jared Triolo (R)26.5%2.0 PA

9Endy Rodríguez (L)22.6%2.0 PA