‹ Strikeouts · Monday, June 8, 2026
BOS @ TB Strikeouts matchups · Monday, June 8, 2026
BOS
Boston Red Sox
1–3
Final
TB
Tampa Bay Rays
◆ Tropicana FieldElevation 15 ftCenter Field 404 ft☀ 72°F DomeWind 0 mph, None
Connelly Early · LHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate23.6% K/BF
vs LHB25.3%
vs RHB22.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.5%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.6 BF
Expected batters faced23.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection5.4 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
FDFanDuel-158+118
FANFanatics-145+110
BOVBovada-160+120
DKDraftKings-153+120
BRBetRivers-150+114
We project 5.4 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
TB lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Yandy Díaz (R)18.3%3.0 PA
2Richie Palacios (L)21.5%3.0 PA
3Chandler Simpson (L)17.3%3.0 PA
4Victor Mesa Jr. (L)22.7%3.0 PA
5Jonathan Aranda (L)26.2%3.0 PA
6Ben Williamson (R)22.4%2.6 PA
7Taylor Walls (R)22.4%2.0 PA
8Nick Fortes (R)17.0%2.0 PA
9Cedric Mullins (L)17.5%2.0 PA
Ian Seymour · LHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate22.7% K/BF
vs LHB25.3%
vs RHB20.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)7.6%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload14.6 BF
Expected batters faced14.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection3.2 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
BOS lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Jarren Duran (L)24.0%2.0 PA
2Ceddanne Rafaela (R)26.8%2.0 PA
3Wilyer Abreu (L)17.8%2.0 PA
4Willson Contreras (R)20.2%2.0 PA
5Mickey Gasper (R)26.2%2.0 PA
6Caleb Durbin (R)16.3%1.6 PA
7Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)20.5%1.0 PA
8Andruw Monasterio (R)21.9%1.0 PA
9Carlos Narváez (R)22.0%1.0 PA