MatchWiz
Strikeouts Board · Archive

Best MLB strikeouts matchupsMonday, June 8, 2026

Every starting pitcher on the Monday, June 8, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by strikeout upside against today's lineup. Whiff rate, the bats he's facing, how deep he goes, and command. Higher means more K's. Results show how each start played out.

Plays of the Day PRO

Our highest-conviction strikeout calls — starts where our projection diverges 1.25+ K from the book's line, the segment where our backtested edge concentrates. Overs and Unders alike, ranked by the gap (Δ).

Δ1.3Kyle HarrisonMIL vs ATHwe project 6.2 K vs the 7.5 lineUnder 7.5-143

Research signal — in backtesting our edge concentrated in the largest of these gaps, not across every start. Display only, not betting advice.

#Pitcher · MatchupScore

Pitcher Strikeout Rate28.0% K/BF

vs LHB23.5%
vs RHB28.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.6%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.1 BF

Expected batters faced22.1
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection6.2 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness23.8% avg

BatterK rateExp PA
1. Shea Langeliers (R)19.4%3.0
2. Nick Kurtz (L)28.5%3.0
3. Jeff McNeil (L)16.8%3.0
4. Brent Rooker (R)27.0%3.0
5. Carlos Cortes (L)22.1%2.1
6. Tyler Soderstrom (L)24.2%2.0
7. Henry Bolte (R)28.4%2.0
8. Zack Gelof (R)23.3%2.0
9. Alika Williams (R)24.2%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 7.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
DKDraftKings+112-143
BRBetRivers+117-157
MGMBetMGM+110-150

We project 6.2 K vs the 7.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate27.4% K/BF

vs LHB28.7%
vs RHB25.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.4%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload25.6 BF

Expected batters faced25.6
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection6.1 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness19.5% avg

BatterK rateExp PA
1. George Springer (R)18.9%3.0
2. Nathan Lukes (L)20.7%3.0
3. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)17.7%3.0
4. Kazuma Okamoto (R)20.9%3.0
5. Ernie Clement (R)14.2%3.0
6. Andrés Giménez (L)16.9%3.0
7. Jesús Sánchez (L)22.7%3.0
8. Brandon Valenzuela (R)21.3%2.6
9. Yohendrick Piñango (L)22.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
FDFanDuel+116-154
BOVBovada+115-150
DKDraftKings+121-154
MGMBetMGM+110-150
BRBetRivers+116-155

We project 6.1 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate25.3% K/BF

vs LHB24.8%
vs RHB25.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.5%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.6 BF

Expected batters faced24.6
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.9 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.3% avg

BatterK rateExp PA
1. Trent Grisham (L)18.0%3.0
2. Ben Rice (L)22.0%3.0
3. Max Schuemann (R)23.3%3.0
4. Cody Bellinger (L)16.1%3.0
5. Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L)24.9%3.0
6. Spencer Jones (L)22.0%3.0
7. José Caballero (R)16.9%2.6
8. Anthony Volpe (R)23.2%2.0
9. Ali Sánchez (R)25.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
FDFanDuel-138+112
FANFanatics-145+110
BOVBovada-145+110
DKDraftKings-140+110
MGMBetMGM-145+105
BRBetRivers-162+120

We project 5.9 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.9% K/BF

vs LHB21.3%
vs RHB21.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.8%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.4 BF

Expected batters faced23.4
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.7 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness24.6% avg

BatterK rateExp PA
1. Zach Neto (R)27.4%3.0
2. Mike Trout (R)24.5%3.0
3. Jose Siri (R)25.1%3.0
4. Jo Adell (R)24.6%3.0
5. Denzer Guzman (R)32.9%3.0
6. Nick Madrigal (R)18.3%2.4
7. Nolan Schanuel (L)18.8%2.0
8. Oswald Peraza (R)24.2%2.0
9. Logan O'Hoppe (R)25.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
FDFanDuel-112-118
FANFanatics-105-125
BOVBovada-110-120
DKDraftKings-110-116
BRBetRivers-107-125
MGMBetMGM+100-135

We project 5.7 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate23.3% K/BF

vs LHB24.1%
vs RHB21.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.9%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.6 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness23.1% avg

BatterK rateExp PA
1. Taylor Ward (R)22.7%3.0
2. Gunnar Henderson (L)22.9%3.0
3. Pete Alonso (R)20.9%3.0
4. Colton Cowser (L)23.6%3.0
5. Leody Taveras (L)22.8%3.0
6. Jackson Holliday (L)21.4%2.1
7. Coby Mayo (R)29.3%2.0
8. Blaze Alexander (R)23.5%2.0
9. Samuel Basallo (L)20.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
FDFanDuel+116-154
FANFanatics+115-150
BOVBovada+110-145
DKDraftKings+116-148
BRBetRivers+102-136
MGMBetMGM+120-160

We project 5.6 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate23.6% K/BF

vs LHB25.3%
vs RHB22.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.5%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.6 BF

Expected batters faced23.6
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.4 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness20.6% avg

BatterK rateExp PA
1. Yandy Díaz (R)18.3%3.0
2. Richie Palacios (L)21.5%3.0
3. Chandler Simpson (L)17.3%3.0
4. Victor Mesa Jr. (L)22.7%3.0
5. Jonathan Aranda (L)26.2%3.0
6. Ben Williamson (R)22.4%2.6
7. Taylor Walls (R)22.4%2.0
8. Nick Fortes (R)17.0%2.0
9. Cedric Mullins (L)17.5%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
FDFanDuel-158+118
FANFanatics-145+110
BOVBovada-160+120
DKDraftKings-153+120
BRBetRivers-150+114

We project 5.4 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate22.9% K/BF

vs LHB18.9%
vs RHB27.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.1%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.4 BF

Expected batters faced23.4
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.5 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness19.5% avg

BatterK rateExp PA
1. Travis Bazzana (L)15.3%3.0
2. José Ramírez (L)16.4%3.0
3. Chase DeLauter (L)17.2%3.0
4. Rhys Hoskins (R)24.9%3.0
5. Stuart Fairchild (R)25.7%3.0
6. Angel Martínez (L)24.4%2.4
7. Steven Kwan (L)11.8%2.0
8. Patrick Bailey (L)23.4%2.0
9. Brayan Rocchio (L)16.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
FDFanDuel+106-140
BOVBovada+105-135
DKDraftKings+113-144
MGMBetMGM+110-150
BRBetRivers-105-129

We project 4.5 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate21.5% K/BF

vs LHB21.9%
vs RHB21.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.5%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.0 BF

Expected batters faced24.0
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.9 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness20.3% avg

BatterK rateExp PA
1. James Wood (L)27.7%3.0
2. Luis García Jr. (L)15.6%3.0
3. Andrés Chaparro (R)22.7%3.0
4. CJ Abrams (L)19.4%3.0
5. Dylan Crews (R)21.3%3.0
6. Jacob Young (R)20.8%3.0
7. Keibert Ruiz (L)15.9%2.0
8. Jorbit Vivas (L)18.4%2.0
9. Nasim Nuñez (L)21.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
FDFanDuel+130-160
BOVBovada+125-165
DKDraftKings+120-153
BRBetRivers+114-152

We project 4.9 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate21.4% K/BF

vs LHB22.0%
vs RHB20.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.2%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.8 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.9% avg

BatterK rateExp PA
1. Christian Yelich (L)21.0%3.0
2. Jackson Chourio (R)23.9%3.0
3. Brice Turang (L)25.3%3.0
4. William Contreras (R)20.5%3.0
5. Blake Perkins (R)20.3%2.7
6. Andrew Vaughn (R)18.1%2.0
7. Garrett Mitchell (L)26.4%2.0
8. Luis Rengifo (R)19.5%2.0
9. David Hamilton (L)21.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
FDFanDuel+126-154
BOVBovada+120-160
DKDraftKings+113-145
FANFanatics+120-160
BRBetRivers+123-165

We project 4.8 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate21.5% K/BF

vs LHB21.3%
vs RHB22.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.6%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.9 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.9% avg

BatterK rateExp PA
1. Jeremy Peña (R)16.5%3.0
2. Yordan Alvarez (L)18.5%3.0
3. Shay Whitcomb (R)27.1%3.0
4. Isaac Paredes (R)16.8%3.0
5. Jose Altuve (R)21.9%2.5
6. Brice Matthews (R)26.6%2.0
7. Cam Smith (R)26.2%2.0
8. Jake Meyers (R)21.2%2.0
9. Collin Price (R)22.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
FDFanDuel+114-140
BOVBovada+110-145
DKDraftKings-109-116
BRBetRivers+115-155
MGMBetMGM+110-150

We project 4.9 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate19.9% K/BF

vs LHB21.6%
vs RHB18.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.3%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.2 BF

Expected batters faced22.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.5 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness23.0% avg

BatterK rateExp PA
1. Blake Dunn (R)20.8%3.0
2. JJ Bleday (L)22.1%3.0
3. Sal Stewart (R)21.2%3.0
4. Spencer Steer (R)23.2%3.0
5. Eugenio Suárez (R)27.2%2.2
6. Noelvi Marte (R)19.9%2.0
7. Matt McLain (R)26.0%2.0
8. Tyler Stephenson (R)24.8%2.0
9. Edwin Arroyo (L)22.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
FDFanDuel-134+110
BOVBovada-135+105
DKDraftKings-128+100
FANFanatics-130+100
MGMBetMGM-115-115
BRBetRivers-152+114

We project 4.5 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate22.0% K/BF

vs LHB22.0%
vs RHB22.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.7 BF

Expected batters faced21.7
From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.4 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness20.4% avg

BatterK rateExp PA
1. Cole Young (L)18.2%3.0
2. Julio Rodríguez (R)22.7%3.0
3. Josh Naylor (L)14.8%3.0
4. Randy Arozarena (R)21.7%2.7
5. Victor Robles (R)19.6%2.0
6. Dominic Canzone (L)21.2%2.0
7. Patrick Wisdom (R)23.5%2.0
8. Jhonny Pereda (R)17.8%2.0
9. Ryan Bliss (R)24.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
FDFanDuel-122+100
BOVBovada-125-105
DKDraftKings-129+101
BRBetRivers-132+100
MGMBetMGM-150+110

We project 4.4 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate17.5% K/BF

vs LHB21.2%
vs RHB17.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.0%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.4 BF

Expected batters faced22.4
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.4 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.5% avg

BatterK rateExp PA
1. Kyle Schwarber (L)25.8%3.0
2. Trea Turner (R)17.9%3.0
3. Bryce Harper (L)22.0%3.0
4. Brandon Marsh (L)27.2%3.0
5. Alec Bohm (R)18.0%2.4
6. J.T. Realmuto (R)20.0%2.0
7. Bryson Stott (L)18.3%2.0
8. Adolis García (R)23.7%2.0
9. Justin Crawford (L)20.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
FDFanDuel-168+136
FANFanatics-165+125
BOVBovada-170+130

We project 4.4 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate18.5% K/BF

vs LHB23.5%
vs RHB16.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)5.8%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.2 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.9% avg

BatterK rateExp PA
1. Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)23.8%3.0
2. Jackson Merrill (L)22.9%3.0
3. Ty France (R)24.4%3.0
4. Manny Machado (R)21.6%3.0
5. Xander Bogaerts (R)18.6%3.0
6. Gavin Sheets (L)24.0%2.0
7. Jase Bowen (R)22.0%2.0
8. Samad Taylor (R)20.7%2.0
9. Freddy Fermin (R)19.2%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
FDFanDuel+102-136
BOVBovada+105-135
DKDraftKings+107-137
MGMBetMGM+110-150
BRBetRivers+108-143

We project 4.2 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate22.7% K/BF

vs LHB25.3%
vs RHB20.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)7.6%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload14.6 BF

Expected batters faced14.6
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection3.2 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.8% avg

BatterK rateExp PA
1. Jarren Duran (L)24.0%2.0
2. Ceddanne Rafaela (R)26.8%2.0
3. Wilyer Abreu (L)17.8%2.0
4. Willson Contreras (R)20.2%2.0
5. Mickey Gasper (R)26.2%2.0
6. Caleb Durbin (R)16.3%1.6
7. Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)20.5%1.0
8. Andruw Monasterio (R)21.9%1.0
9. Carlos Narváez (R)22.0%1.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate19.0% K/BF

vs LHB20.4%
vs RHB19.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)6.7%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload13.9 BF

Expected batters faced13.9
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection2.7 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.9% avg

BatterK rateExp PA
1. Casey Schmitt (R)19.6%2.0
2. Rafael Devers (L)28.0%2.0
3. Luis Arraez (L)15.3%2.0
4. Willy Adames (R)24.9%2.0
5. Jung Hoo Lee (L)18.6%1.9
6. Bryce Eldridge (L)24.8%1.0
7. Matt Chapman (R)21.3%1.0
8. Eric Haase (R)22.9%1.0
9. Jonah Cox (R)22.0%1.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.