‹ Strikeouts · Tuesday, June 9, 2026
BOS @ TB Strikeouts matchups · Tuesday, June 9, 2026
BOS
Boston Red Sox
3–4
Final
TB
Tampa Bay Rays
◆ Tropicana FieldElevation 15 ftCenter Field 404 ft☀ 72°F DomeWind 0 mph, None
Payton Tolle · LHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate25.3% K/BF
vs LHB19.0%
vs RHB28.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.4%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.2 BF
Expected batters faced23.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection5.5 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
FDFanDuel+120-160
BOVBovada+120-160
DKDraftKings+122-156
We project 5.5 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
TB lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Yandy Díaz (R)17.8%3.0 PA
2Junior Caminero (R)16.0%3.0 PA
3Chandler Simpson (L)17.3%3.0 PA
4Ryan Vilade (R)22.1%3.0 PA
5Austin Slater (R)25.9%3.0 PA
6Cedric Mullins (L)17.4%2.2 PA
7Ben Williamson (R)22.7%2.0 PA
8Nick Fortes (R)17.9%2.0 PA
9Taylor Walls (R)22.7%2.0 PA
Nick Martinez · RHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate16.6% K/BF
vs LHB18.9%
vs RHB16.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.6%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.9 BF
Expected batters faced23.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection4.0 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
FDFanDuel-102-120
FANFanatics-105-125
BOVBovada-105-125
DKDraftKings+101-129
MGMBetMGM-105-125
We project 4.0 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
BOS lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jarren Duran (L)26.1%3.0 PA
2Ceddanne Rafaela (R)17.5%3.0 PA
3Wilyer Abreu (L)22.1%3.0 PA
4Willson Contreras (R)25.6%3.0 PA
5Masataka Yoshida (L)16.6%3.0 PA
6Mickey Gasper (L)20.5%2.9 PA
7Caleb Durbin (R)17.5%2.0 PA
8Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)17.9%2.0 PA
9Marcelo Mayer (L)19.3%2.0 PA