‹ Strikeouts · Tuesday, June 9, 2026
CIN @ SD Strikeouts matchups · Tuesday, June 9, 2026
CIN
Cincinnati Reds
5–3
Final
SD
San Diego Padres
◆ Petco ParkElevation 23 ftCenter Field 396 ft☀ 70°F ClearWind 7 mph, Varies
Chase Burns · RHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate29.3% K/BF
vs LHB29.1%
vs RHB26.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.4%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.1 BF
Expected batters faced23.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection6.3 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
FDFanDuel-152+114
MGMBetMGM-155+115
BRBetRivers-162+120
We project 6.3 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
SD lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)19.5%3.0 PA
2Jackson Merrill (L)23.8%3.0 PA
3Manny Machado (R)22.3%3.0 PA
4Gavin Sheets (L)21.7%3.0 PA
5Will Wagner (L)18.1%3.0 PA
6Samad Taylor (R)21.6%2.1 PA
7Bryce Johnson (L)24.2%2.0 PA
8Freddy Fermin (R)22.4%2.0 PA
9Sung-Mun Song (L)21.4%2.0 PA
Lucas Giolito · RHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate18.9% K/BF
vs LHB16.3%
vs RHB23.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.0%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.6 BF
Expected batters faced21.6
From recent starts4
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection4.8 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
FDFanDuel-132+108
DKDraftKings-112-114
BOVBovada-135+105
FANFanatics-130+100
MGMBetMGM-115-115
BRBetRivers-120-112
We project 4.8 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
CIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Blake Dunn (R)21.9%3.0 PA
2JJ Bleday (L)22.2%3.0 PA
3Sal Stewart (R)20.8%3.0 PA
4Nathaniel Lowe (L)22.3%2.6 PA
5Spencer Steer (R)23.2%2.0 PA
6Eugenio Suárez (R)27.1%2.0 PA
7Matt McLain (R)25.3%2.0 PA
8Tyler Stephenson (R)24.9%2.0 PA
9Edwin Arroyo (L)22.0%2.0 PA