CHC @ SF Strikeouts matchups · Friday, June 12, 2026

CHC

Chicago Cubs

5–1

Final

San Francisco Giants

◆ Oracle ParkElevation 0 ftCenter Field 391 ft☀ 62°F ClearWind 14 mph, Out To CF

Javier Assad · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate18.6% K/BF

vs LHB20.6%

vs RHB17.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.3%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload18.4 BF

Expected batters faced18.4

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection3.1 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Last 3 Gamesstrikeouts

Apr 7@ TB3

Apr 13@ PHI3

Apr 19vs NYM3

Their strikeouts in each of the last 3 games they appeared in — most recent at the bottom.

Strikeout Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

BRBetRivers-165+123

MGMBetMGM-165+125

DKDraftKings-169+132

We project 3.1 K vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

SF lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Luis Arraez (L)8.3%2.4 PA

2Bryce Eldridge (L)21.0%2.0 PA

3Casey Schmitt (R)21.7%2.0 PA

4Rafael Devers (L)26.6%2.0 PA

5Jung Hoo Lee (L)11.8%2.0 PA

6Willy Adames (R)25.5%2.0 PA

7Matt Chapman (R)20.3%2.0 PA

8Drew Gilbert (L)20.0%2.0 PA

9Daniel Susac (R)22.9%2.0 PA

Landen Roupp · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate23.5% K/BF

vs LHB23.4%

vs RHB23.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.6%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.2 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 Gamesstrikeouts

May 14@ LAD7

May 19@ AZ3

May 25vs AZ7

Jun 1@ MIL4

Jun 6@ CHC5

Their strikeouts in each of the last 5 games they appeared in — most recent at the bottom.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

FDFanDuel+124-152

FANFanatics+110-145

BRBetRivers+114-152

BOVBovada+120-160

MGMBetMGM+115-155

DKDraftKings+117-149

We project 5.2 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

CHC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)23.1%3.0 PA

2Alex Bregman (R)17.5%3.0 PA

3Michael Busch (L)22.8%3.0 PA

4Ian Happ (L)26.1%3.0 PA

5Seiya Suzuki (R)26.2%2.9 PA

6Nico Hoerner (R)9.8%2.0 PA

7Moisés Ballesteros (L)20.6%2.0 PA

8Carson Kelly (R)18.5%2.0 PA

9Dansby Swanson (R)24.5%2.0 PA