MIA @ PIT Strikeouts matchups · Friday, June 12, 2026

MIA

Miami Marlins

8–3

Final

PIT

Pittsburgh Pirates

◆ PNC ParkElevation 780 ftCenter Field 399 ft☀ 81°F Partly CloudyWind 8 mph, Out To LF

Sandy Alcantara · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate19.6% K/BF

vs LHB18.7%

vs RHB21.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.2%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.5 BF

Expected batters faced24.5

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.4 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 Gamesstrikeouts

May 16@ TB6

May 21vs ATL3

May 26@ TOR4

Jun 1@ WSH5

Jun 7vs TB7

Their strikeouts in each of the last 5 games they appeared in — most recent at the bottom.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

FDFanDuel-110-120

FANFanatics+100-130

DKDraftKings-110-115

MGMBetMGM+110-150

BRBetRivers-112-120

BOVBovada-110-120

We project 4.4 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Spencer Horwitz (L)14.8%3.0 PA

2Brandon Lowe (L)23.7%3.0 PA

3Bryan Reynolds (L)22.3%3.0 PA

4Ryan O'Hearn (L)21.0%3.0 PA

5Nick Gonzales (R)18.0%3.0 PA

6Tyler Callihan (L)19.7%3.0 PA

7Endy Rodríguez (L)23.2%2.5 PA

8Jake Mangum (L)18.8%2.0 PA

9Jared Triolo (R)26.3%2.0 PA

Braxton Ashcraft · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate26.5% K/BF

vs LHB29.0%

vs RHB21.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.3%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.4 BF

Expected batters faced24.4

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection6.2 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 Gamesstrikeouts

May 15vs PHI5

May 21@ STL9

May 26vs CHC5

May 31vs MIN11

Jun 6@ ATL5

Their strikeouts in each of the last 5 games they appeared in — most recent at the bottom.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

FDFanDuel-142+116

DKDraftKings-129+101

MGMBetMGM-125-105

BRBetRivers-124-108

BOVBovada-145+110

We project 6.2 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

MIA lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Liam Hicks (L)12.4%3.0 PA

2Otto Lopez (R)18.0%3.0 PA

3Kyle Stowers (L)29.2%3.0 PA

4Xavier Edwards (L)14.7%3.0 PA

5Heriberto Hernández (R)24.5%3.0 PA

6Owen Caissie (L)31.4%3.0 PA

7Jakob Marsee (L)19.4%2.4 PA

8Joe Mack (L)22.0%2.0 PA

9Javier Sanoja (R)15.0%2.0 PA