TEX @ BOS Strikeouts matchups · Friday, June 12, 2026

TEX

Texas Rangers

1–10

Final

BOS

Boston Red Sox

◆ Fenway ParkElevation 21 ftCenter Field 420 ft☀ 82°F Partly CloudyWind 2 mph, L To R

Jack Leiter · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate23.9% K/BF

vs LHB22.4%

vs RHB25.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.3%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.9 BF

Expected batters faced23.9

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.6 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 Gamesstrikeouts

May 15@ HOU6

May 20@ COL5

May 26vs HOU4

May 31vs KC10

Jun 6vs CLE2

Their strikeouts in each of the last 5 games they appeared in — most recent at the bottom.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

FDFanDuel+132-178

DKDraftKings+124-158

MGMBetMGM+105-140

BRBetRivers+120-162

BOVBovada+135-180

We project 5.6 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

BOS lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Mickey Gasper (L)19.5%3.0 PA

2Ceddanne Rafaela (R)19.3%3.0 PA

3Wilyer Abreu (L)23.4%3.0 PA

4Willson Contreras (R)26.2%3.0 PA

5Jarren Duran (L)28.1%3.0 PA

6Caleb Durbin (R)16.7%2.9 PA

7Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)17.2%2.0 PA

8Marcelo Mayer (L)19.0%2.0 PA

9Connor Wong (R)22.9%2.0 PA

Sonny Gray · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate21.2% K/BF

vs LHB21.8%

vs RHB21.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.6%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.9 BF

Expected batters faced21.9

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.7 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 Gamesstrikeouts

May 13vs PHI6

May 18@ KC9

May 24vs MIN4

May 30@ CLE7

Jun 5@ NYY3

Their strikeouts in each of the last 5 games they appeared in — most recent at the bottom.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

FDFanDuel+136-168

MGMBetMGM+125-165

BRBetRivers+125-167

BOVBovada+130-170

We project 4.7 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

TEX lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Joc Pederson (L)20.1%3.0 PA

2Josh Jung (R)21.9%3.0 PA

3Brandon Nimmo (L)21.6%3.0 PA

4Wyatt Langford (R)21.2%2.9 PA

5Ezequiel Duran (R)23.0%2.0 PA

6Evan Carter (L)21.4%2.0 PA

7Jake Burger (R)23.8%2.0 PA

8Kyle Higashioka (R)25.0%2.0 PA

9Nicky Lopez (L)21.5%2.0 PA