SD @ BAL Strikeouts matchups · Friday, June 12, 2026

San Diego Padres

3–7

Final

BAL

Baltimore Orioles

◆ Oriole Park at Camden YardsElevation 33 ftCenter Field 410 ft☀ 89°F Partly CloudyWind 9 mph, Out To RF

Griffin Canning · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate22.4% K/BF

vs LHB21.1%

vs RHB23.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.7%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.5 BF

Expected batters faced21.5

From recent starts7

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.9 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 Gamesstrikeouts

May 14@ MIL2

May 19vs LAD5

May 25vs PHI5

May 31@ WSH3

Jun 6vs NYM6

Their strikeouts in each of the last 5 games they appeared in — most recent at the bottom.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

FDFanDuel-108-122

FANFanatics-105-125

DKDraftKings-115-111

BRBetRivers-117-114

MGMBetMGM+105-140

BOVBovada-110-120

We project 4.9 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

BAL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Taylor Ward (R)21.2%3.0 PA

2Gunnar Henderson (L)21.8%3.0 PA

3Adley Rutschman (L)17.6%3.0 PA

4Pete Alonso (R)22.4%2.5 PA

5Samuel Basallo (L)21.8%2.0 PA

6Coby Mayo (R)30.3%2.0 PA

7Colton Cowser (L)23.6%2.0 PA

8Tyler O'Neill (R)22.5%2.0 PA

9Jackson Holliday (L)22.8%2.0 PA

Shane Baz · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.5% K/BF

vs LHB22.4%

vs RHB19.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.7%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.3 BF

Expected batters faced24.3

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.8 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 Gamesstrikeouts

May 15@ WSH4

May 20@ TB6

May 26vs TB9

Jun 2@ BOS6

Jun 7@ TOR3

Their strikeouts in each of the last 5 games they appeared in — most recent at the bottom.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

DKDraftKings-157+123

BRBetRivers-165+123

MGMBetMGM-140+105

We project 4.8 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

SD lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)19.5%3.0 PA

2Jackson Merrill (L)23.1%3.0 PA

3Manny Machado (R)21.5%3.0 PA

4Xander Bogaerts (R)21.0%3.0 PA

5Gavin Sheets (L)22.2%3.0 PA

6Samad Taylor (R)24.8%3.0 PA

7Ty France (R)21.3%2.3 PA

8Will Wagner (L)19.3%2.0 PA

9Freddy Fermin (R)21.3%2.0 PA