Best MLB Total Bases Matchups — Saturday, June 13, 2026
Top total bases spot: Shea Langeliers
Shea Langeliers (ATH) tops the board at 100, facing LHP Kyle Freeland. The righty is racking up bases at .653 TB/PA against lefties this year — and 1.050 over the last two weeks, an elite bat that turns into a total base in about 56% of his trips. And Kyle Freeland has been getting squared up by lefties lately — .500 total bases per batter faced. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.5 trips, so the volume's there. He's owned Kyle Freeland too — 1.000 across 2 career trips. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Hunter Goodman (COL) (86) vs RHP Joey Estes: an excellent bat at .488 into an arm with little track record against the same side (—), due to bounce back.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) (83) vs RHP Trevor McDonald: a strong bat at .477 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.448).
- Tyler Soderstrom (ATH) (83) vs LHP Kyle Freeland: an excellent bat at .498 into an arm tough on the same side (.125).
- Ben Rice (NYY) (80) vs RHP Kevin Gausman: a strong bat at .480 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.643).
- JJ Bleday (CIN) (79) vs RHP Michael Soroka: a strong bat at .464 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.486).
- Nick Kurtz (ATH) (77) vs LHP Kyle Freeland: a strong bat at .449 into an arm tough on the same side (.125), hot bat.
- Ian Happ (CHC) (77) vs RHP Trevor McDonald: an excellent bat at .504 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.448).
Arms giving up extra bases today
- RHP Joey Estes has been getting squared up by righties — .493 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Hunter Goodman (COL), TJ Rumfield (COL), and Willi Castro (COL).
- LHP Joey Cantillo has been getting squared up by lefties — .466 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Gleyber Torres (DET), Dillon Dingler (DET), and Kevin McGonigle (DET).
- LHP Kyle Freeland has been getting squared up by lefties — .459 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Shea Langeliers (ATH), Tyler Soderstrom (ATH), and Nick Kurtz (ATH).
- RHP Mike Burrows has been getting squared up by righties — .446 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Vinnie Pasquantino (KC), Carter Jensen (KC), and Bobby Witt Jr. (KC).
Platoon edges to target
- Shea Langeliers (ATH) — righty bat vs LHP, .653 against lefties this year.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .402 against righties this year.
- Ben Rice (NYY) — lefty bat vs RHP, .546 against righties this year.
- JJ Bleday (CIN) — lefty bat vs RHP, .540 against righties this year.
- Ian Happ (CHC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .461 against righties this year.
Lineup watch
270 of today's hitters are still on projected lineups, drawn from each team's last game. Batting order drives the score, so these flip the moment official lineups post — usually about two hours before first pitch. Anyone who doesn't make the official card gets flagged "Not starting" and drops to the bottom.
How to read these total bases matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's total bases per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.