Best MLB Hits Matchups — Monday, April 13, 2026
Top hits spot: Brendan Donovan
Brendan Donovan (SEA) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Mike Burrows. The lefty is hitting .250 H/PA against righties this year — and .261 over the last two weeks, a strong bat that turns into a hit in about 25% of his trips. And Mike Burrows has been getting tattooed by righties lately — .360 hits per batter faced. One catch: the bullpen behind him has been stingy to that side late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. He's owned Mike Burrows too — .571 across 7 career trips. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Jose Altuve (HOU) (92) vs RHP George Kirby: a strong bat at .267 into an arm vulnerable to the same side (.273).
- Shohei Ohtani (LAD) (90) vs LHP David Peterson: a strong bat at .256 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.417).
- Scott Kingery (CHC) (86) vs LHP Cristopher Sánchez: a solid bat at .246 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.364).
- Steven Kwan (CLE) (86) vs LHP Matthew Liberatore: a solid bat at .235 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.500).
- Christian Walker (HOU) (80) vs RHP George Kirby: a strong bat at .260 into an arm vulnerable to the same side (.273), due to bounce back.
- Lawrence Butler (ATH) (80) vs RHP Nathan Eovaldi: a solid bat at .228 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.344).
- Seiya Suzuki (CHC) (77) vs LHP Cristopher Sánchez: a solid bat at .249 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.364).
Pitchers getting tattooed today
- LHP Matthew Liberatore has been vulnerable to lefties — .285 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Steven Kwan (CLE), Daniel Schneemann (CLE), and Angel Martínez (CLE).
- RHP Nathan Eovaldi has been vulnerable to righties — .281 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Lawrence Butler (ATH), Nick Kurtz (ATH), and Tyler Soderstrom (ATH).
- LHP Cristopher Sánchez has been vulnerable to lefties — .277 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Scott Kingery (CHC), Seiya Suzuki (CHC), and Alex Bregman (CHC).
- RHP Mike Burrows has been vulnerable to righties — .276 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Brendan Donovan (SEA), Cal Raleigh (SEA), and Julio Rodríguez (SEA).
Platoon edges to target
- Brendan Donovan (SEA) — lefty bat vs RHP, .250 against righties this year.
- Lawrence Butler (ATH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .194 against righties this year.
- Seiya Suzuki (CHC) — righty bat vs LHP, .500 against lefties this year.
- Billy Cook (PIT) — righty bat vs LHP, .000 against lefties this year.
- Xavier Edwards (MIA) — lefty bat vs RHP, .356 against righties this year.
Hot bats and bounce-back spots
Swinging hot bats: Gunnar Henderson (BAL), Jose Fernandez (AZ), Ronald Acuña Jr. (ATL), Jordan Walker (STL), Ildemaro Vargas (AZ), and Matt Olson (ATL). Cold but due to bounce back: Brendan Donovan (SEA), Christian Walker (HOU), Joey Bart (PIT), Andruw Monasterio (BOS), and James Outman (MIN).
How it played out
6 of the top 10 hits matchups landed at least one hit. Top play Brendan Donovan finished with 2 hits. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these hits matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's hits per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.