Best MLB Hits Matchups — Monday, April 20, 2026
Top hits spot: Ernie Clement
Ernie Clement (TOR) tops the board at 100, facing LHP Reid Detmers. The righty is hitting .333 H/PA against lefties this year — and .625 over the last two weeks, an excellent bat that turns into a hit in about 28% of his trips. And Reid Detmers has been tough on lefties lately — .207 hits per batter faced. One catch: the bullpen behind him has been stingy to that side late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.5 trips, so the volume's there. He's just .182 in 11 career PA against Reid Detmers, but that's a tiny sample and the matchup says regression. It all sets up in a neutral park, weather helping.
The rest of the top of the board
- Shea Langeliers (ATH) (99) vs RHP Emerson Hancock: an excellent bat at .276 into an arm tough on the same side (.167).
- Shohei Ohtani (LAD) (96) vs LHP Jose Quintana: a solid bat at .244 into an arm giving up plenty to the same side (.250), hitter's park.
- Trea Turner (PHI) (96) vs RHP Colin Rea: a strong bat at .262 into an arm mostly holding up against the same side (.210), hot bat.
- Chandler Simpson (TB) (92) vs RHP Rhett Lowder: an excellent bat at .276 into an arm tough on the same side (.207).
- Kevin McGonigle (DET) (88) vs RHP Sonny Gray: a strong bat at .256 into an arm tough on the same side (.182).
- Alex Call (LAD) (88) vs LHP Jose Quintana: a strong bat at .254 into an arm tough on the same side (.143), hitter's park.
- Otto Lopez (MIA) (88) vs RHP Michael McGreevy: an excellent bat at .272 into an arm tough on the same side (.200), hot bat.
Platoon edges to target
- Ernie Clement (TOR) — righty bat vs LHP, .333 against lefties this year.
- Chandler Simpson (TB) — lefty bat vs RHP, .328 against righties this year.
- Kevin McGonigle (DET) — lefty bat vs RHP, .268 against righties this year.
- Alex Call (LAD) — righty bat vs LHP, .333 against lefties this year.
- Kyle Stowers (MIA) — lefty bat vs RHP, .500 against righties this year.
Best parks to hit in today
Coors Field is playing as a real hitter's park today (+6% hits park). Top bat there: Shohei Ohtani (LAD) at 96.
Hot bats and bounce-back spots
Swinging hot bats: Trea Turner (PHI), Otto Lopez (MIA), Liam Hicks (MIA), Junior Caminero (TB), Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR), and Will Smith (LAD). Cold but due to bounce back: Eli White (ATL), Spencer Torkelson (DET), Steven Kwan (CLE), Teoscar Hernández (LAD), and Jordan Beck (COL).
How it played out
9 of the top 10 hits matchups landed at least one hit. Top play Ernie Clement finished with 1 hit. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these hits matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's hits per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.