MatchWiz
Hits · Sunday, June 14, 2026

MIA @ PIT Hits matchups · Sunday, June 14, 2026

MIA
MIA
Miami Marlins
vs
12:15 PM EDT
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
PIT
PNC ParkElevation 780 ftCenter Field 399 ft

MIA MIA Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from MIA's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.30333 BF
Season.190174 BF
Last 2 Years.185778 BF
wOBA allowed.259
Hard-Hit %23%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.15838 BF
Season.178129 BF
Last 2 Years.182665 BF
wOBA allowed.246
Hard-Hit %40%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.245

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.25643 PA
Season.243210 PA
Last 2 Years.230534 PA

Last 5 Gameshits

Jun 9vs AZ1
Jun 10vs AZ2
Jun 11vs AZ1
Jun 12@ PIT3
Jun 13@ PIT1

Their hits in each of the last 5 games they appeared in — most recent at the bottom.

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.233

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.30333 PA
Season.190174 PA
Last 2 Years.185778 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.227

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.234184 PA
Season.218980 PA
Last 2 Years.2142733 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.353
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.306
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.65
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 5-game streak

Projection

Projected Hits1.151

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.274

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.31844 PA
Season.280218 PA
Last 2 Years.257844 PA

Last 5 Gameshits

Jun 9vs AZ3
Jun 10vs AZ2
Jun 11vs AZ2
Jun 12@ PIT1
Jun 13@ PIT2

Their hits in each of the last 5 games they appeared in — most recent at the bottom.

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.201

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.15838 PA
Season.178129 PA
Last 2 Years.182665 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.218

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.234192 PA
Season.189922 PA
Last 2 Years.2152998 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.339
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.262
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances4

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.55
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 7-game streak

Projection

Projected Hits1.136

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.242

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.19541 PA
Season.258225 PA
Last 2 Years.277848 PA

Last 5 Gameshits

Jun 9vs AZ2
Jun 10vs AZ0
Jun 11vs AZ1
Jun 12@ PIT1
Jun 13@ PIT0

Their hits in each of the last 5 games they appeared in — most recent at the bottom.

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.233

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.30333 PA
Season.190174 PA
Last 2 Years.185778 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.227

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.234184 PA
Season.218980 PA
Last 2 Years.2142733 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.326
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.306
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances6

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.45
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected Hits1.063

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.224

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.22041 PA
Season.195149 PA
Last 2 Years.227639 PA

Last 5 Gameshits

Jun 9vs AZ1
Jun 10vs AZ1
Jun 11vs AZ0
Jun 12@ PIT2
Jun 13@ PIT0

Their hits in each of the last 5 games they appeared in — most recent at the bottom.

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.233

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.30333 PA
Season.190174 PA
Last 2 Years.185778 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.227

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.234184 PA
Season.218980 PA
Last 2 Years.2142733 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.343
Hard-Hit %39%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.306
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances5

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.35
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected Hits0.999

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.248

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.33315 PA
Season.21973 PA
Last 2 Years.231243 PA

Last 5 Gameshits

Jun 7vs TB1
Jun 10vs AZ2
Jun 11vs AZ0
Jun 12@ PIT2
Jun 13@ PIT1

Their hits in each of the last 5 games they appeared in — most recent at the bottom.

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.201

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.15838 PA
Season.178129 PA
Last 2 Years.182665 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.218

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.234192 PA
Season.189922 PA
Last 2 Years.2152998 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.327
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.262
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.25
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected Hits0.974

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.245

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 Gameshits

Jun 1@ WSH1
Jun 2@ WSH0
Jun 6vs TB1
Jun 9vs AZ0
Jun 13@ PIT0

Their hits in each of the last 5 games they appeared in — most recent at the bottom.

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.201

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.15838 PA
Season.178129 PA
Last 2 Years.182665 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.218

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.234192 PA
Season.189922 PA
Last 2 Years.2152998 PA

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.262
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.1
Sees starter / bullpen~2.7× / ~1.4×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Projection

Projected Hits0.963

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.228

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.27333 PA
Season.183213 PA
Last 2 Years.208366 PA

Last 5 Gameshits

Jun 9vs AZ1
Jun 10vs AZ1
Jun 11vs AZ1
Jun 12@ PIT0
Jun 13@ PIT1

Their hits in each of the last 5 games they appeared in — most recent at the bottom.

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.233

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.30333 PA
Season.190174 PA
Last 2 Years.185778 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.227

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.234184 PA
Season.218980 PA
Last 2 Years.2142733 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.325
Hard-Hit %29%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.306
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Context

Expected Plate Apps4
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected Hits0.925

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.225

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.13023 PA
Season.243107 PA
Last 2 Years.235332 PA

Last 5 Gameshits

Jun 9vs AZ1
Jun 10vs AZ1
Jun 11vs AZ0
Jun 12@ PIT1
Jun 13@ PIT0

Their hits in each of the last 5 games they appeared in — most recent at the bottom.

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.201

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.15838 PA
Season.178129 PA
Last 2 Years.182665 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.218

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.234192 PA
Season.189922 PA
Last 2 Years.2152998 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.282
Hard-Hit %26%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.262
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.9
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected Hits0.855

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.226

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.16712 PA
Season.208144 PA
Last 2 Years.234501 PA

Last 5 Gameshits

Jun 1@ WSH1
Jun 3@ WSH0
Jun 6vs TB0
Jun 9vs AZ1
Jun 13@ PIT1

Their hits in each of the last 5 games they appeared in — most recent at the bottom.

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.201

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.15838 PA
Season.178129 PA
Last 2 Years.182665 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.218

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.234192 PA
Season.189922 PA
Last 2 Years.2152998 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.316
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.262
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.8
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected Hits0.835

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

PIT PIT Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from PIT's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.19142 BF
Season.162179 BF
Last 2 Years.208419 BF
wOBA allowed.261
Hard-Hit %36%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.21233 BF
Season.192146 BF
Last 2 Years.249374 BF
wOBA allowed.285
Hard-Hit %32%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.250

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.25643 PA
Season.253202 PA
Last 2 Years.249851 PA

Last 5 Gameshits

Jun 7@ ATL2
Jun 10vs LAD2
Jun 11vs LAD2
Jun 12vs MIA0
Jun 13vs MIA1

Their hits in each of the last 5 games they appeared in — most recent at the bottom.

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.205

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.19142 PA
Season.162179 PA
Last 2 Years.208419 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.200

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.183197 PA
Season.201742 PA
Last 2 Years.2092621 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.358
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.301
Hard-Hit % Allowed39%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.65
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected Hits1.065

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.232

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.19436 PA
Season.238193 PA
Last 2 Years.244877 PA

Last 5 Gameshits

Jun 9vs LAD0
Jun 10vs LAD1
Jun 11vs LAD1
Jun 12vs MIA1
Jun 13vs MIA0

Their hits in each of the last 5 games they appeared in — most recent at the bottom.

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.205

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.19142 PA
Season.162179 PA
Last 2 Years.208419 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.200

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.183197 PA
Season.201742 PA
Last 2 Years.2092621 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.354
Hard-Hit %41%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.301
Hard-Hit % Allowed39%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.55
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected Hits1.001

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.211

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.17141 PA
Season.192198 PA
Last 2 Years.227975 PA

Last 5 Gameshits

Jun 9vs LAD2
Jun 10vs LAD1
Jun 11vs LAD1
Jun 12vs MIA1
Jun 13vs MIA1

Their hits in each of the last 5 games they appeared in — most recent at the bottom.

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.205

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.19142 PA
Season.162179 PA
Last 2 Years.208419 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.200

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.183197 PA
Season.201742 PA
Last 2 Years.2092621 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.330
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.301
Hard-Hit % Allowed39%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.45
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 5-game streak

Projection

Projected Hits0.959

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.258

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.30826 PA
Season.260158 PA
Last 2 Years.236865 PA

Last 5 Gameshits

Jun 9vs LAD1
Jun 10vs LAD1
Jun 11vs LAD1
Jun 12vs MIA0
Jun 13vs MIA2

Their hits in each of the last 5 games they appeared in — most recent at the bottom.

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.205

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.19142 PA
Season.162179 PA
Last 2 Years.208419 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.200

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.183197 PA
Season.201742 PA
Last 2 Years.2092621 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.353
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.301
Hard-Hit % Allowed39%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.35
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected Hits1.014

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.281

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.32540 PA
Season.307176 PA
Last 2 Years.255698 PA

Last 5 Gameshits

Jun 9vs LAD0
Jun 10vs LAD0
Jun 11vs LAD2
Jun 12vs MIA1
Jun 13vs MIA0

Their hits in each of the last 5 games they appeared in — most recent at the bottom.

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.225

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.21233 PA
Season.192146 PA
Last 2 Years.249374 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.209

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.220141 PA
Season.178619 PA
Last 2 Years.2152661 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.344
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.309
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.25
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected Hits1.076

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.210

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.15426 PA
Season.18554 PA
Last 2 Years.16299 PA

Last 5 Gameshits

Jun 7@ ATL1
Jun 9vs LAD0
Jun 10vs LAD0
Jun 12vs MIA2
Jun 13vs MIA0

Their hits in each of the last 5 games they appeared in — most recent at the bottom.

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.205

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.19142 PA
Season.162179 PA
Last 2 Years.208419 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.200

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.183197 PA
Season.201742 PA
Last 2 Years.2092621 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.306
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.301
Hard-Hit % Allowed39%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.1
Sees starter / bullpen~2.7× / ~1.4×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected Hits0.856

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.245

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.25016 PA
Season.25016 PA
Last 2 Years.22722 PA

Last 5 Gameshits

Jun 7@ ATL0
Jun 10vs LAD2
Jun 11vs LAD1
Jun 12vs MIA0
Jun 13vs MIA2

Their hits in each of the last 5 games they appeared in — most recent at the bottom.

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.205

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.19142 PA
Season.162179 PA
Last 2 Years.208419 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.200

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.183197 PA
Season.201742 PA
Last 2 Years.2092621 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.398
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.301
Hard-Hit % Allowed39%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Context

Expected Plate Apps4
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected Hits0.905

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.292

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.43832 PA
Season.265102 PA
Last 2 Years.282393 PA

Last 5 Gameshits

Jun 9vs LAD0
Jun 10vs LAD3
Jun 11vs LAD1
Jun 12vs MIA0
Jun 13vs MIA2

Their hits in each of the last 5 games they appeared in — most recent at the bottom.

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.205

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.19142 PA
Season.162179 PA
Last 2 Years.208419 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.200

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.183197 PA
Season.201742 PA
Last 2 Years.2092621 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.358
Hard-Hit %27%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.301
Hard-Hit % Allowed39%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.9
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected Hits0.975

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.194

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.12839 PA
Season.16784 PA
Last 2 Years.182510 PA

Last 5 Gameshits

Jun 9vs LAD1
Jun 10vs LAD1
Jun 11vs LAD1
Jun 12vs MIA1
Jun 13vs MIA0

Their hits in each of the last 5 games they appeared in — most recent at the bottom.

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.225

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.21233 PA
Season.192146 PA
Last 2 Years.249374 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.209

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.220141 PA
Season.178619 PA
Last 2 Years.2152661 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.272
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.309
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.8
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected Hits0.789

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.