Best MLB Hits Matchups — Sunday, June 14, 2026
Top hits spot: Jackson Chourio
Jackson Chourio (MIL) tops the board at 100, facing LHP Cristopher Sánchez. The righty is hitting .361 H/PA against lefties this year — and .727 over the last two weeks, an elite bat that turns into a hit in about 31% of his trips. And Cristopher Sánchez has been tough on lefties lately — .158 hits per batter faced. One catch: the bullpen behind him has been stingy to that side late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.5 trips, so the volume's there. He's just .000 in 2 career PA against Cristopher Sánchez, but that's a tiny sample and the matchup says regression. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Edwin Arroyo (CIN) (93) vs RHP Zac Gallen: a solid bat at .245 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.370), hot bat.
- Bryce Eldridge (SF) (89) vs LHP Ryan Rolison: an excellent bat at .285 into an arm tough on the same side (.083), hot bat.
- Yandy Díaz (TB) (88) vs RHP Grayson Rodriguez: an excellent bat at .293 into an arm mostly holding up against the same side (.226).
- Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) (87) vs LHP Patrick Corbin: an excellent bat at .297 into an arm giving up plenty to the same side (.256), hot bat.
- Luis Arraez (SF) (86) vs LHP Ryan Rolison: a strong bat at .269 into an arm tough on the same side (.083), hot bat.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) (85) vs LHP Trevor Rogers: a strong bat at .261 into an arm giving up plenty to the same side (.241).
- Gleyber Torres (DET) (85) vs RHP Gavin Williams: an excellent bat at .274 into an arm giving up plenty to the same side (.250).
Pitchers getting tattooed today
- RHP Zac Gallen has been vulnerable to righties — .284 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Edwin Arroyo (CIN), JJ Bleday (CIN), and Sal Stewart (CIN).
- RHP Casey Legumina has been vulnerable to righties — .279 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Zach Neto (LAA), Oswald Peraza (LAA), and Nick Madrigal (LAA).
- LHP Jeffrey Springs has been vulnerable to lefties — .265 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Willi Castro (COL), Kyle Karros (COL), and Hunter Goodman (COL).
- RHP Taj Bradley has been giving up plenty to righties — .256 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Jordan Walker (STL), Alec Burleson (STL), and Nelson Velázquez (STL).
Platoon edges to target
- Jackson Chourio (MIL) — righty bat vs LHP, .361 against lefties this year.
- Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) — righty bat vs LHP, .329 against lefties this year.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) — righty bat vs LHP, .293 against lefties this year.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .216 against righties this year.
- Shohei Ohtani (LAD) — lefty bat vs RHP, .237 against righties this year.
Hot bats and bounce-back spots
Swinging hot bats: Jackson Chourio (MIL), Edwin Arroyo (CIN), Bryce Eldridge (SF), Paul Goldschmidt (NYY), Luis Arraez (SF), and Shohei Ohtani (LAD). Cold but due to bounce back: Freddie Freeman (LAD), Justin Foscue (TEX), Sal Stewart (CIN), Jung Hoo Lee (SF), and David Fry (CLE).
Lineup watch
270 of today's hitters are still on projected lineups, drawn from each team's last game. Batting order drives the score, so these flip the moment official lineups post — usually about two hours before first pitch. Anyone who doesn't make the official card gets flagged "Not starting" and drops to the bottom.
How to read these hits matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's hits per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.