Best MLB H+R+RBI Matchups — Tuesday, June 16, 2026
Top h+r+rbi spot: Nick Kurtz
Nick Kurtz (ATH) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Mitch Keller. The lefty is stacking production at .546 (H+R+RBI)/PA against righties this year — and .615 over the last two weeks, a strong bat that turns into a H+R+RBI in about 54% of his trips. And Mitch Keller has been getting lit up by righties lately — .559 H+R+RBI per batter faced. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.5 trips, so the volume's there. He's owned Mitch Keller too — .500 across 2 career trips. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Wade Meckler (LAA) (99) vs RHP Merrill Kelly: a strong bat at .537 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.654).
- Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) (97) vs RHP Ryan Feltner: a strong bat at .526 into an arm mostly holding up against the same side (.400), hot bat.
- James Wood (WSH) (95) vs RHP Michael Wacha: a strong bat at .542 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.722), hot bat.
- Tyler Freeman (COL) (93) vs RHP Edward Cabrera: a solid bat at .490 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (1.357).
- Hunter Goodman (COL) (93) vs RHP Edward Cabrera: a strong bat at .532 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (1.357).
- Alec Burleson (STL) (92) vs RHP Michael King: an elite bat at .624 into an arm mostly holding up against the same side (.391), hot bat.
- JJ Bleday (CIN) (88) vs RHP Kodai Senga: a solid bat at .486 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
Arms giving up production today
- RHP Edward Cabrera has been getting lit up by righties — .576 H+R+RBI per batter faced. Bats to target: Tyler Freeman (COL), Hunter Goodman (COL), and Willi Castro (COL).
- RHP Kodai Senga has been getting lit up by righties — .567 H+R+RBI per batter faced. Bats to target: JJ Bleday (CIN), Blake Dunn (CIN), and Sal Stewart (CIN).
- RHP Merrill Kelly has been getting lit up by righties — .553 H+R+RBI per batter faced. Bats to target: Wade Meckler (LAA), Nolan Schanuel (LAA), and Zach Neto (LAA).
- RHP Mitch Keller has been getting lit up by righties — .524 H+R+RBI per batter faced. Bats to target: Nick Kurtz (ATH), Lawrence Butler (ATH), and Tyler Soderstrom (ATH).
Platoon edges to target
- Nick Kurtz (ATH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .546 against righties this year.
- Wade Meckler (LAA) — lefty bat vs RHP, .656 against righties this year.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .500 against righties this year.
- James Wood (WSH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .583 against righties this year.
- Alec Burleson (STL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .619 against righties this year.
Lineup watch
270 of today's hitters are still on projected lineups, drawn from each team's last game. Batting order drives the score, so these flip the moment official lineups post — usually about two hours before first pitch. Anyone who doesn't make the official card gets flagged "Not starting" and drops to the bottom.
How to read these h+r+rbi matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's combined hits + runs + RBIs per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.